Match Info

FIFA Club World Cup - Round 3

Date: 25 June 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Hard Rock Stadium (Miami Gardens, FL) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Afghanistan	23:30	Ariana
Africa	—	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 1, Showmax, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League, ZAP
Albania	21:00	DAZN, SuperSport 3
Angola	20:00	TPA 2, Z Sports 2
Argentina	16:00	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, DSports 2, Mi Telefe
Australia	05:00	DAZN, Fox Sports 503, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports
Austria	21:00	DAZN
Belarus	22:00	DAZN, Okko Sport
Belgium	21:00	DAZN 1
Bolivia	15:00	AXS, Cotas, DAZN App, DAZN, ENTEL TV, Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App, XDigital
Brazil	16:00	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	22:00	DAZN
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Cape Verde	18:00	TCV Internacional
Chile	15:00	DirecTV Sports
China	03:00	Migu, ZhiBo8
Colombia	14:00	DAZN
Comoros	22:00	ORTC
Costa Rica	13:00	TD +, TDMAX
Cote D Ivoire	19:00	NCI
Croatia	21:00	DAZN
Cyprus	22:00	DAZN
Czech Republic	21:00	DAZN, Nova Sport 5, Oneplay Sport 1
Denmark	21:00	DAZN
Ecuador	14:00	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 2
El Salvador	13:00	Canal 4, TCS GO
Eswatini	—	Eswatini TV
Finland	22:00	DAZN, Veikkaus TV
France	21:00	DAZN 1, DAZN 2, DAZN France, New World TV
Germany	21:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	22:00	DAZN
Honduras	13:00	Deportes TV
Hong Kong	03:00	DAZN
Hungary	21:00	DAZN
India	00:30	DAZN, FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	02:00	DAZN
Ireland	20:00	DAZN Ireland
Israel	22:00	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	21:00	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	04:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	01:00	DAZN
Kenya	22:00	Gotv
Latvia	22:00	DAZN
Lithuania	22:00	DAZN
Malaysia	03:00	DAZN
Maldives	00:00	Medianet
Malta	21:00	TVM Sport+
Mauritius	23:00	MBC 11
Mexico	13:00	DAZN App, DAZN, VIX+, ViX Premium
Montenegro	21:00	TVCG 2
Mozambique	21:00	Startimes Mania, TV Miramar
New Zealand	07:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nicaragua	13:00	Canal 13
Nigeria	20:00	DAZN, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North Central America	—	DirecTV Sports Caribbean
North Macedonia	21:00	DAZN
Norway	21:00	DAZN, VG+
Panama	14:00	Nex
Paraguay	15:00	DAZN App, DAZN, Tigo Sports
Peru	14:00	DAZN App, DirecTV Sports
Philippines	03:00	DAZN
Poland	21:00	DAZN
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1, DAZN Portugal
Romania	22:00	DAZN, Voyo
Russia	22:00	DAZN
Rwanda	21:00	Rwanda TV, Rwanda TV
Serbia	21:00	DAZN
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	DAZN
South Africa	21:00	DAZN, SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, SuperSport Premier League
South America	—	DGO Latin America
South Korea	04:00	Coupang Play, DAZN
Spain	21:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	21:00	DAZN
Switzerland	21:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	03:00	DAZN
Thailand	02:00	DAZN
Turkey	22:00	DAZN Turkiye, Tabii, TRT Spor
Ukraine	22:00	DAZN
United Arab Emirates	23:00	DAZN
United Kingdom	20:00	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	16:00	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, DSports 2, Eventos Montecable, Flow, Montecable 1, NS Eventos, TCC 1, TCC 2
Usa	15:00	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	00:00	DAZN
Venezuela	15:00	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, DSports 2, Inter, Televen
Vietnam	02:00	DAZN, FPT Play
International	19:00	Sport 24 Extra


	Mamelodi Sundowns		Fluminense

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.2	2.1	Watch
	4	3.7	1.87
	3.92	3.16	2.19
	4.08	3.26	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↓ (5.87)	3.33 ↓ (4.79)	2.06 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mamelodi Sundowns
24.4%

Draw
28.9%

Fluminense
46.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

16.4%

20.1%

63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7%

19.3%

66.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mamelodi Sundowns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mamelodi Sundowns's performance.

Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fluminense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mamelodi Sundowns that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+19.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fluminense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.5%	19.3%	63.2%

Mamelodi Sundowns - Fluminense Predictions

Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. Mamelodi Sundowns will win (votes: 10 - 18.2%). Fluminense will win (votes: 35 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fluminense: 50.9% – 76.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 27 Selected Experts predict this event. Mamelodi Sundowns (votes: 7 - 25.9%). Fluminense (votes: 12 - 44.4%). Tie (votes: 8 - 29.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Fluminense (3.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 50%) .

DNB - Mamelodi Sundowns (2.58) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Mamelodi Sundowns (1.74) (votes: 3 - 60%) .

AH +0.25, 1st Half - Mamelodi Sundowns (1.74) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Mamelodi Sundowns (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

EH +1 - Fluminense (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 39 Selected Experts predict this event. Mamelodi Sundowns (votes: 15 - 38.5%). Fluminense (votes: 16 - 41%). Tie (votes: 8 - 20.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Williams R. (G) 25. Mudau K. 24. Cupido K. 20. Kekana G. 29. Lunga D. 11. Allende M. 4. Mokoena T. 10. Ribeiro L. 18. Zwane T. (C) 17. Matthews T. 13. Rayners I.	1. Fabio (G) 2. Samuel Xavier 4. Ignacio 22. Freytes J. 6. Rene 35. Hercules 16. Nonato 8. Martinelli 21. Arias J. (C) 14. Cano G. 17. Canobbio A.
Substitutes
8. Adams J. 9. Arthur Sales 15. Aubaas B. J. 2. Khoza M. 5. Lebusa M. 16. Lethlaku K. 12. Maema N. 28. Mdunyelwa Z. 21. Mkhulise S. 6. Modiba A. 27. Morena T. 34. Mvala M. 1. Onyango D. (G) 26. Pieterse R. (G) 38. Shalulile P.	5. Bernal F. 9. Everaldo 12. Fuentes G. 23. Guga 11. Keno 19. Lavega J. 18. Lezcano R. 45. Lima 26. Manoel 77. Paulo Baya 10. PH Ganso 90. Serna K. 29. Thiago Santos 3. Thiago Silva 98. Vitor Eudes (G)
Coaches
Cardoso M.	Renato Gaucho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Mokoena T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mokoena T. ↓, Adams J. ↑,
60', Cupido K. ↓, Lebusa M. ↑,
60', Matthews T. ↓, Arthur Sales ↑,
67', Hercules ↓, Bernal F. ↑,
67', Canobbio A. ↓, Keno ↑,
77', Ribeiro L. ↓, Shalulile P. ↑,
77', Martinelli ↓, Lima ↑,
85', Zwane T. ↓, Lethlaku K. ↑,
86', Nonato ↓, Thiago Silva ↑,
86', Cano G. ↓, Everaldo ↑,
88', Arias J. 🟨,
89', Bernal F. 🟨,
90+5', Rene 🟨,
90+6', Lethlaku K. 🟨,

Preview

Recent performances by Mamelodi Sundowns have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Fluminense is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Fluminense has had a series of home games.

Fluminense could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Mamelodi Sundowns: Nyanga S. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Fluminense: Isaque Silva (Injury) Otavio (Achilles Tendon Injury) Riquelme Felipe (Injury) Soteldo Y. (Inactive)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mamelodi Sundowns
FIFA Club World Cup
21.06.25	Mamelodi Sundowns - Borussia Dortmund	3:4 ✺
17.06.25	Ulsan HD - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:1 ✺
CAF Champions League
01.06.25	Pyramids - Mamelodi Sundowns	2:1 ✺
24.05.25	Mamelodi Sundowns - Pyramids	1:1 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
18.05.25	Mamelodi Sundowns - Magesi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLTW
- Fluminense RJ
FIFA Club World Cup
21.06.25	Fluminense - Ulsan HD	4:2 ✺
17.06.25	Fluminense - Borussia Dortmund	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
01.06.25	Internacional RS - Fluminense	0:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
29.05.25	Fluminense - Once Caldas	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
24.05.25	Fluminense - Vasco da Gama	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 WTWWW

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