Match Info

FIFA Club World Cup - Round 1

Date: 17 June 2025, Tuesday

Location: Inter&Co Stadium (Orlando, FL)

Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Ariana
Africa	Azam Sports 2, Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 1, Showmax, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League, ZAP
Albania	DAZN, SuperSport 2
Angola	Z Sports 2
Argentina	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Mi Telefe
Australia	DAZN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports
Austria	DAZN
Belarus	DAZN, Okko Sport
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bolivia	Cotas, DAZN App, DAZN, ENTEL TV, Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports 2, Tigo Sports App, XDigital
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Cape-verde	TCV Internacional
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	Migu, ZhiBo8
Colombia	DAZN
Comoros	ORTC
Costa-rica	TD +, TDMAX
Cote-d-ivoire	NCI
Croatia	DAZN
Cyprus	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN, Nova Sport 3, Nova Sport 4, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 4
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports
El-salvador	Canal 4, TCS GO
Eswatini	Eswatini TV
Finland	DAZN, Veikkaus TV
France	DAZN 1, DAZN France, New World TV
Georgia	1TV
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	DAZN
Guatemala	Azteca Guatemala
Honduras	Deportes TV, Mega
Hong-kong	DAZN
Hungary	DAZN
India	DAZN
Indonesia	DAZN
Ireland	DAZN Ireland
Israel	5 LIVE Israel, 5 SPORT Israel
Italy	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	DAZN
Kenya	Gotv
Latvia	DAZN
Lithuania	DAZN
Malaysia	DAZN
Malta	TVM Sport+
Mauritius	MBC 11
Mexico	DAZN App, DAZN
Montenegro	TVCG 2
Mozambique	TV Miramar
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nicaragua	Canal 13
Nigeria	DAZN, Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean
North-macedonia	DAZN
Norway	DAZN, VG+
Panama	Nex
Paraguay	DAZN App, DAZN, Tigo Sports+
Peru	DAZN App, DirecTV Sports
Philippines	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	DAZN, Pro Arena, Voyo
Russia	DAZN
Rwanda	Rwanda TV, Rwanda TV
Serbia	DAZN
Seyshelles	SBC 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	DAZN
South-africa	DAZN, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South-america	DGO Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play, DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	DAZN
Turkey	DAZN Turkiye, Tabii, TRT Spor
Ukraine	DAZN
United-arab-emirates	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Eventos Montecable, Flow, Montecable 1, NS Eventos, TCC 1, TCC 2
Usa	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	DAZN, Zor TV
Venezuela	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter, Televen
Vietnam	DAZN, FPT Play
World	Sport 24


	Ulsan HD		Mamelodi Sundowns

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.1	2.1	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.37
	3.45	3.15	2.2
	3.93	3.2	2.16
	2.47	3.24	2.85	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.7
	3.84	3.26	2.18
	3.45	3.15	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (2.47)	3.16 ↓ (3.24)	2.35 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulsan HD
28.8%

Draw
30.3%

Mamelodi Sundowns
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

29.3%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

30.8%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulsan HD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ulsan HD's form might have worsened.

Mamelodi Sundowns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mamelodi Sundowns's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulsan HD than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ulsan HD, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mamelodi Sundowns, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.9%	22.9%	54.3%

Ulsan HD - Mamelodi Sundowns Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Ulsan will win (votes: 8 - 22.9%). Mamelodi Sundowns will win (votes: 19 - 54.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 22.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mamelodi Sundowns: 37.8% – 70.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Ulsan (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Mamelodi Sundowns (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Mamelodi Sundowns (1.84) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH +0.5 - Ulsan (1.86) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Ulsan (1.84) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Ulsan (2.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (2.82) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. Ulsan (votes: 9 - 34.6%). Mamelodi Sundowns (votes: 14 - 53.8%). Tie (votes: 3 - 11.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Jo Hyeon-Woo (G) 66. Trojak M. 4. Seo Myung-Guan 19. Kim Young-Gwon (C) 17. Ludwigson G. 27. Lee Chung-Yong 5. Jung Woo-Young 6. Bojanic D. 7. Ko Seung-Beom 11. Um Won-Sang 97. Erick Farias	30. Williams R. (G) 25. Mudau K. 20. Kekana G. 24. Cupido K. 29. Lunga D. 11. Allende M. 4. Mokoena T. 10. Ribeiro L. 9. Arthur Sales 18. Zwane T. (C) 13. Rayners I.
Substitutes
72. Baek In-Woo 96. Choi Seok-Hyun 18. Heo Yool 3. Kang Min-Woo 13. Kang Sang-Woo 22. Kim Min-Hyeok 10. Kim Min-Woo 36. Lacava M. 16. Lee H. 28. Lee Jae-Ik 14. Lee Jin-Hyun 23. Moon Jung-In (G) 26. Park Min-Seo 99. Yago Cariello 30. Yoon Jae-Seok	8. Adams J. 15. Aubaas B. J. 2. Khoza M. 5. Lebusa M. 16. Lethlaku K. 12. Maema N. 17. Matthews T. 28. Mdunyelwa Z. 21. Mkhulise S. 6. Modiba A. 35. Mothiba L. 34. Mvala M. 1. Onyango D. (G) 26. Pieterse R. (G) 38. Shalulile P.
Coaches
Kim Pan-Gon	Cardoso M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Rayners I. ⚽, Ribeiro L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Bojanic D. 🟨,
64', Lee Chung-Yong ↓, Lacava M. ↑,
65', Arthur Sales ↓, Matthews T. ↑,
73', Jung Woo-Young ↓, Lee Jin-Hyun ↑,
73', Bojanic D. ↓, Lee H. ↑,
77', Rayners I. ↓, Mothiba L. ↑,
77', Zwane T. ↓, Aubaas B. J. ↑,
80', Seo Myung-Guan ↓, Kang Sang-Woo ↑,
85', Ribeiro L. ↓, Adams J. ↑,
85', Cupido K. ↓, Mvala M. ↑,
86', Mokoena T. 🟨,

Preview

Ulsan has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mamelodi Sundowns is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Mamelodi Sundowns might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Ulsan HD - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 38.42%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulsan HD
South Korean K-League 1
31.05.25	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Ulsan HD	3:1 ✺
28.05.25	Gwangju - Ulsan HD	1:1 ✺
24.05.25	Ulsan HD - Gimcheon Sangmu	3:2 ✺
17.05.25	Gangwon - Ulsan HD	1:1 ✺
South Korean Cup
14.05.25	Ulsan HD - Incheon United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTWTW
- Mamelodi Sundowns
CAF Champions League
01.06.25	Pyramids - Mamelodi Sundowns	2:1 ✺
24.05.25	Mamelodi Sundowns - Pyramids	1:1 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
18.05.25	Mamelodi Sundowns - Magesi	2:0 ✺
14.05.25	Chippa United - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:3 ✺
11.05.25	Mamelodi Sundowns - Stellenbosch	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTWWW

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