Match Info
Serie D - Round 4Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
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Manauara |
|
Nacional AM |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.3 |
2.92 |
3 |
|
 |
2.32 |
3.05 |
3.08 |
|
 |
2.42 |
2.81 |
3.15 |
 Watch |
 |
2.3 |
2.7 |
3.1 |
|
 |
2.33 |
2.82 |
3.15 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↑
(2.23) |
2.86 ↓
(3.07) |
3.1 ↑
(3) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Manauara
38.9% | Draw
31.8% | Nacional AM
29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manauara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Nacional AM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manauara than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional AM than the current prediction. (-0.6%)Manauara - Nacional AM Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 32', 0 - 1, Rafa Marcos ⚽,
- 2nd Half (4 - 1)
- 57', 0 - 2, Anderson Alagoano ⚽,
- 57', 1 - 2, Joao Guilherme ⚽,
- 66', 2 - 2, Paulinho ⚽,
- 76', 🟥,
- 89', 3 - 2, Cuadrado ⚽,
- 90+4', 4 - 2, Cuadrado ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manauara won 1.Manauara has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Nacional AM is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).Manauara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Manauara won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.5:0.9).Including home matches between the teams, Manauara won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.5:0.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Manauara - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 40.54%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Campeonato Amazonense | | | 08.03.26 | Manauara - Nacional AM | 0:1 | | 24.01.26 | Manauara - Nacional AM | 1:1 | | 19.03.25 | Manauara - Nacional AM | 1:2 | | 15.02.25 | Manauara - Nacional AM | 0:0 | | 30.03.24 | Manauara - Nacional AM | 1:0 | | 24.01.24 | Manauara - Nacional AM | 0:0 | | 25.02.23 | Nacional AM - Manauara | 1:1 |
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