Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE C - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 14

Date: 23 July 2023, Sunday


	Manaus		Brusque

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.2
	2.36	2.95	3.39
	2.15	2.8	3.25
	2.16	3.1	3.32	Watch
	2.21	3.05	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.7)	2.98 ↑ (2.85)	3.25 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manaus
41.5%

Draw
30.5%

Brusque
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

31.7%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

32.1%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manaus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manaus's performance.

Brusque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brusque might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manaus than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manaus that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brusque could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Manaus - Brusque Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Manaus will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Brusque will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Andrey (G) 4. Bruno Bispo (C) 3. Douglas 5. Felipe Baiano 7. Franklin 10. Gabriel Lima 8. Gama 11. Klenisson 9. Lucas Batatinha 2. Lucas Mota 6. Renan Luis	1. Matheus Nogueira (G) 66. Alex Ruan 7. Cleo Silva 21. Danilo Belao 2. Everton Alemao 99. Everton Bala 17. Guilherme Queiroz 8. Jhemerson 33. Madison 5. Rodolfo Potiguar 4. Wallace (C)
Substitutes
16. Capa 17. Gilson Alves 21. Gustavinho 18. Henan 29. Jean Carlo 12. Joao Guilherme (G) 20. Joao Lucas 26. Johnatan Cardoso 19. Lucas Carvalho 14. Luis Fernando 15. Thallyson	6. Airton 27. Diego Mathias 91. Diego Tavares 3. Ianson 22. Iran 11. Lucas Poletto 9. Olavio 88. Rodrigo 47. Ruan Carneiro (G) 29. Thiaguinho

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Recent matches Manaus is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Brusque is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Manaus could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Manaus won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Manaus won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manaus FC
Brazilian Serie C
15.07.23	Manaus - São Bernardo	0:0 ✺
09.07.23	América RN - Manaus	1:2 ✺
01.07.23	Aparecidense - Manaus	1:0 ✺
24.06.23	Manaus - Confiança	3:3 ✺
18.06.23	Manaus - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TWLTL
- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie C
15.07.23	Brusque - Confiança	4:0 ✺
08.07.23	Botafogo PB - Brusque	1:2 ✺
01.07.23	Paysandu - Brusque	0:2 ✺
24.06.23	Brusque - Floresta	2:0 ✺
17.06.23	Brusque - Figueirense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
18.08.19	Manaus - Brusque	2:3 penalties
11.08.19	Brusque - Manaus	2:2

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