Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE C - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 13

Date: 15 July 2023, Saturday


	Manaus		São Bernardo

	1	X	2
	2.8	3	2.3
	3.06	3.01	2.47
	2.88	2.8	2.35
	2.93	3.08	2.38	Watch
	2.9	3.05	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.29)	2.99 ↓ (3)	2.37 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manaus
31.2%

Draw
30.4%

São Bernardo
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

30.8%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

30.1%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manaus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manaus's form might have worsened.

São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting São Bernardo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manaus than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manaus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for São Bernardo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Manaus - São Bernardo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Andrey (G) 4. Bruno Bispo (C) 3. Douglas 11. Franklin 10. Gabriel Lima 5. Gabriel Tonini 9. Klenisson 7. Lucas Carvalho 2. Lucas Mota 6. Renan Luis 8. Thallyson	1. Alex Alves (G) 6. Arthur Henrique 20. Bruno Michel 18. Bruno Santos 55. Henrique Lordelo 2. Jeferson 9. Joao Carlos 13. Leo Paraiso 10. Matheus Oliveira 4. Matheus Salustiano 17. Romisson
Substitutes
27. Batatinha L. 16. Capa 23. Gama 17. Gustavinho 18. Helio Paraiba 20. Henan 21. Jean Carlo 12. Joao Guilherme (G) 28. Joao Lucas 26. Johnatan Cardoso 14. Luis Fernando 19. Thiaguinho	22. Alex Reinaldo 15. Bruno Azevedo 26. Davi Gabriel 97. Gionnotti F. 21. Hugo Sanchez 12. Junior Oliveira (G) 33. Kaua Jesus 7. Lucas Tocantins 88. Silvinho

Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Manaus is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches São Bernardo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manaus FC
Brazilian Serie C
09.07.23	América RN - Manaus	1:2 ✺
01.07.23	Aparecidense - Manaus	1:0 ✺
24.06.23	Manaus - Confiança	3:3 ✺
18.06.23	Manaus - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:4 ✺
11.06.23	Amazonas - Manaus	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLTLL
- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Serie C
08.07.23	São Bernardo - Altos	1:1 ✺
01.07.23	São Bernardo - Botafogo PB	0:0 ✺
25.06.23	EC São José Porto Alegre - São Bernardo	2:2 ✺
19.06.23	São Bernardo - Volta Redonda	0:3 ✺
12.06.23	Paysandu - São Bernardo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TTTLT

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