Match Info

Date: 30 October 2021, Saturday


	Manaus		Tombense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.88	2.95	4.1
	1.83	3.25	3.9
	1.86	3.22	4.58
	1.85	3	4.2
	1.84	3.2	4.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.42)	3.12 ↑ (2.75)	4.25 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manaus
49.3%

Draw
29.2%

Tombense
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

33%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

22.1%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manaus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manaus's performance.

Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tombense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manaus than the current prediction. (-24.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manaus that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+22.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tombense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Manaus - Tombense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 3 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Manaus is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Tombense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Manaus could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Manaus will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Manaus won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Manaus won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manaus FC
Brazilian Serie C
24.10.21	Ypiranga - Manaus	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
20.10.21	Manaus - Porto Velho	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
17.10.21	Manaus - Ypiranga	1:1 ✺
09.10.21	Tombense - Manaus	2:2 ✺
03.10.21	Manaus - Grêmio Novorizontino	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TWTTW
- Tombense FC
Brazilian Serie C
24.10.21	Grêmio Novorizontino - Tombense	0:1 ✺
18.10.21	Tombense - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:2 ✺
09.10.21	Tombense - Manaus	2:2 ✺
02.10.21	Ypiranga - Tombense	0:1 ✺
25.09.21	Volta Redonda - Tombense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
09.10.21	Tombense - Manaus	2:2
28.08.21	Tombense - Manaus	2:1
26.06.21	Manaus - Tombense	2:1

Manaus - Tombense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide