Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 13

Date: 24 June 2023, Saturday

Location: Almeidão (Tombos)

Referee: Lima Barbosa M. (Bra)


	Tombense		Grêmio Novorizontino

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.9	2.87	2.45
	2.95	2.95	2.45
	3.16	2.99	2.62
	3	2.9	2.5
	3.06	3.08	2.46	Watch
	2.95	3	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↓ (3.1)	2.97 ↓ (3.15)	2.49 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tombense
31.1%

Draw
31.5%

Grêmio Novorizontino
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

29.5%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

29%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	18.2%	63.6%

Tombense - Grêmio Novorizontino Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Tombense will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Novorizontino will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Novorizontino: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Felipe Garcia (G) 2. Pedro Costa 3. Wesley 4. Augusto 6. Egidio 5. Bruno Silva (C) 8. Joao Pedro 10. Matheus Frizzo 7. Keke 9. Fernandao 11. Marcelinho	44. Jordi (G) 26. Adriano Martins 37. Cesar Martins 3. Renato 97. Lepo 5. Geovane 17. Romulo 35. Roberto 7. Douglas Baggio (C) 9. Ronaldo 10. Rodolfo
Substitutes
19. Alex Sandro 17. Daniel Amorim 16. Emerson 20. Felipe 22. Guilherme Santos 26. Jean (G) 13. Kevin 12. Leo Lang (G) 21. Luiz Fernando 18. Pierre 15. Rhayner 14. Ze Vitor	23. Biel 77. Cafe L. 1. Georgemy (G) 43. Guilherme Matos 33. Hiago 18. Jenison 19. Leo Tocantins 88. Matsuoka D. 21. Rabello B. 16. Reverson 95. Ze Mateus
Coaches
Burse J.	Eduardo Baptista

Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Recent matches Tombense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Novorizontino is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Novorizontino will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Tombense: Guilherme Santos (Injury) Kleiton (Injury)

There will not play in Novorizontino: Bruno Silva (Injury) Denner (Injury) Lucas (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Tombense won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Tombense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tombense FC
Brazilian Serie B
11.06.23	Juventude - Tombense	1:2 ✺
06.06.23	Tombense - Vitória Salvador	1:2 ✺
02.06.23	Botafogo SP - Tombense	0:0 ✺
28.05.23	Tombense - Guarani	1:1 ✺
23.05.23	ABC - Tombense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WLTTL
- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie B
10.06.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0 ✺
07.06.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - Guarani	1:0 ✺
03.06.23	ABC - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:1 ✺
28.05.23	Ceará - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:3 ✺
23.05.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - Avaí	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
29.09.22	Tombense - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:0
18.06.22	Grêmio Novorizontino - Tombense	1:3
Brazilian Serie C
24.10.21	Grêmio Novorizontino - Tombense	0:1
18.10.21	Tombense - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:2

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