The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Manchester United U21 50.7%
Draw 21.4%
Sunderland U21 27.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.4%
21.3%
28.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.8%
20.7%
27.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manchester United U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Sunderland U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United U21 than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland U21 than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Manchester United U21 - Sunderland U21 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Murdock W. (G) 2. Kamason J. 3. Aljofree S. (C) 4. Armer D. 5. Kukonki G. 6. Fletcher T. 8. Moorhouse J. 7. Lacey S. 10. Fletcher J. 11. Musa V. 9. Obi C.
1. Allan I. (G) 3. Jones J. 5. Lienard A. 6. Kindon B. 2. Lightfoot A. 4. Jones J. 8. Whittaker J. 11. Scott F. 10. Jones H. (C) 7. Dinsdale C. 9. Neill M.
Substitutes
13. Byrne-Hughes C. (G) 12. Helafu Y. 14. Leon D. 16. Lusale S. 15. Thwaites J.
15. Campbell L. 13. Cowan J. (G) 16. Hester B. 12. Hunt L. 14. Proctor T.
Coaches
Lawrence A.
Murty G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
9', Jones H. 🟨,
15', 1 - 0, Obi C. ⚽, Moorhouse J. (A),
27', 2 - 0, Fletcher J. ⚽,
30', 2 - 1, Scott F. ⚽,
33', Moorhouse J. 🟨,
44', Aljofree S. 🟨,
45+3', Fletcher J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 3 - 1, Lacey S. ⚽,
62', Jones J. ↓, Proctor T. ↑,
67', Moorhouse J. ↓, Thwaites J. ↑,
70', Neill M. ↓, Campbell L. ↑,
70', Scott F. ↓, Hester B. ↑,
73', 3 - 2, Whittaker J. ⚽,
77', Lacey S. ↓, Lusale S. ↑,
77', Kamason J. ↓, Helafu Y. ↑,
90+3', Kindon B. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League 2 (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League 2 (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man Utd U21 won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Sunderland U21 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Man Utd U21 could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Man Utd U21 won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:11. (average 2.3:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Man Utd U21 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Manchester Utd U21
3
3
0
0
12:3
9
9
5
Sunderland U21
4
3
0
1
13:9
4
9
Last Results with these Odds
Manchester United U21 - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 50.41%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.