The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Derby County U21 31.7%
Draw 23.2%
Sunderland U21 45%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.7%
21.2%
38%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.3%
21%
38.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derby County U21's form might have worsened.
Sunderland U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sunderland U21's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County U21 than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derby County U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland U21 than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sunderland U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Derby County U21 - Sunderland U21 Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Price H. (G) 2. Gordon I. 5. Offor R. 6. Banks L. (C) 3. Robinson K. 8. Smith C. 4. Wahling J. 7. Richards J. 10. Green I. 11. Mintus M. 9. Oguntolu J.
1. Cowan J. (G) 2. Lienard A. 5. Hamilton-Forsyth C. 4. Jones J. 3. Lightfoot A. 8. Proctor T. 6. Kindon B. 7. Whittaker J. 10. Jones H. (C) 11. Neill M. 9. Geragusian F.
Substitutes
14. Gill T. 16. Hodges D. 13. OโNeill S. (G) 15. Osong J. 12. Stokes G.
16. Bowman A. 14. Burns M. 15. Campbell L. 12. Hunt L. 13. Robertson F. (G)
Coaches
Maye D.
Murty G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Jones H. ⚽,
45+3', Jones J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Wahling J. ↓, Hodges D. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Oguntolu J. (Penalty Awarded),
54', Geragusian F. 🟨,
55', Robinson K. 🟨,
62', Gordon I. ↓, Gill T. ↑,
63', Richards J. ↓, Osong J. ↑,
67', Jones H. ↓, Hunt L. ↑,
71', Whittaker J. 🟨,
80', Geragusian F. ↓, Campbell L. ↑,
85', Hamilton-Forsyth C. ↓, Burns M. ↑,
86', Proctor T. ↓, Bowman A. ↑,
87', 2 - 1, Osong J. ⚽,
89', Green I. ↓, Stokes G. ↑,
90+3', Neill M. (Penalty Awarded),
90+6', Stokes G. 🟨,
90+8', Banks L. 🟨,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 28 and 24).
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Derby U21 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Derby U21 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:14. (average 0.5:3.5).
Including home match between the teams, Derby U21 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Sunderland U21
4
3
0
1
13:9
4
9
20
Derby U21
4
1
1
2
9:12
-3
4
Last Results with these Odds
Derby County U21 - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.71%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Price H. (G) 
Offor R. 
Wahling J. 
Lienard A. 
Neill M. 
Geragusian F. 
Burns M. 
Murty G. 
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