Match Info

1. Lig - Round 17

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Referee: Ulker H. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Serik Belediyespor		Manisa FK

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.3	2.7	Watch
	2.39	3.49	2.58
	2.41	3.71	2.73
	2.42	3.74	2.57	Watch
	2.4	3.4	2.63
	2.39	3.34	2.55	Watch
	2.42	3.6	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.13)	3.51 ↓ (3.53)	2.61 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Serik Belediyespor
38.4%

Draw
26.3%

Manisa FK
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

26.3%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

25.8%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Serik Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Serik Belediyespor's form might have worsened.

Manisa FK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Manisa FK's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serik Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Serik Belediyespor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manisa FK than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Manisa FK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Serik Belediyespor - Manisa FK Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Serik Belediyespor will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Manisa will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Serik Belediyespor (votes: 1 - 50%). Manisa (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Serik Belediyespor (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Manisa (1.94) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Serik Belediyespor (votes: 2 - 40%). Manisa (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Ersu E. (G) 4. Martynov A. 24. Gotsuk K. (C) 35. Isciler B. 22. Ceylan B. 16. Sen K. 8. Silva M. 3. Terzi E. 10. Amaral J. 7. Berkovsky I. 70. Ozcan S.	1. Karakus V. (G) 45. Karapo A. 4. Herelle C. 27. Gureler Y. 19. Erdem U. 60. Toure B. 11. Adekanye B. 20. Benrahou Y. 10. Lindseth J. 2. Talum Y. 9. Diony L.
Substitutes
33. Akkan G. 79. Altiparmak G. 19. Cetin S. 23. Gunes E. (G) 11. Karadeniz G. 27. Karakaya B. (G) 9. Sadygov I. 2. Tashkyn S. 17. Yukseloglu H.	21. Akboga E. 22. Bodur S. (G) 77. Can Aslan U. 24. Dursun Y. 13. Ibik A. 17. Kahraman O. 23. Kiprit M. 65. Sen A. 41. Suleyman B. 29. Yurtdas O.
Coaches
Sinan P.	Dalci M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Toure B. ⚽,
15', Sen K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Herelle C. 🟨,
55', Lindseth J. 🟨,
56', Adekanye B. ↓, Suleyman B. ↑,
58', Toure B. 🟨,
68', Ozcan S. ↓, Altiparmak G. ↑,
68', Sen K. ↓, Cetin S. ↑,
71', Terzi E. 🟨,
78', Silva M. 🟨,
81', Berkovsky I. ↓, Karadeniz G. ↑,
81', Terzi E. ↓, Tashkyn S. ↑,
85', Benrahou Y. ↓, Kiprit M. ↑,
90', Amaral J. ↓, Sadygov I. ↑,
90+5', Talum Y. ↓, Kahraman O. ↑,
90+6', Lindseth J. ↓, Ibik A. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Serik Belediyespor is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Manisa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Manisa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Serik Belediyespor could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Serik Belediyespor: Asan B. (Suspended) Celenk E. (Suspended) Dilli S. (Suspended) Kok D. (Inactive) Tunali M. (Suspended) Yucedag E. (Inactive)

There will not play in Manisa: Cissokho M. (Yellow Cards) Gocmen B. (Suspended) Inal F. (Suspended) Karabatak S. (Suspended) Yurdakul K. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Manisa: Gureler Y. (Injury)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Manisa FK - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 30%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Serik Belediyespor
Turkish First League
06.12.25	Serik Belediyespor - Keçiörengücü	1:3 ✺
29.11.25	Vanspor - Serik Belediyespor	0:1 ✺
24.11.25	Serik Belediyespor - Sarıyer	3:0 ✺
08.11.25	Sakaryaspor - Serik Belediyespor	2:3 ✺
01.11.25	Serik Belediyespor - Adana Demirspor	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 LWWWW
- Manisa FK
Turkish First League
07.12.25	Manisa FK - Vanspor	2:1 ✺
28.11.25	Pendikspor - Manisa FK	2:0 ✺
21.11.25	Manisa FK - Adana Demirspor	5:0 ✺
08.11.25	Sivasspor - Manisa FK	3:2 ✺
02.11.25	Manisa FK - Amed SK	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWLL

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