Match Info

ECUADOR: SERIE B - ROUND 23

Date: 1 August 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Jocay (Manta)


	Manta		América de Quito

	1	X	2
	1.43	3.8	6.5
	1.55	3.6	5.25
	1.49	3.92	6.62
	1.41	4.2	7.2
	1.44	3.95	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.66)	3.89 ↑ (3.49)	6.43 ↑ (4.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manta
62.4%

Draw
23.4%

América de Quito
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

26.1%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

25.1%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manta's performance.

América de Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manta than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América de Quito than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Manta - América de Quito Predictions

Users Predictions: Manta will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Manta won 2.

Recent matches Manta is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

América de Quito is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Manta is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Manta won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Manta won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manta FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
27.07.23	Manta - Búhos ULVR	1:1 ✺
18.07.23	Imbabura - Manta	2:1 ✺
13.07.23	Manta - Vinotinto	3:0 ✺
06.07.23	9 de Octubre - Manta	2:1 ✺
01.07.23	Manta - Vargas Torres	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLWLW
- América de Quito
Ecuadorian Serie B
25.07.23	América de Quito - Imbabura	1:2 ✺
20.07.23	Vinotinto - América de Quito	2:0 ✺
11.07.23	América de Quito - Deportivo Macará	1:1 ✺
07.07.23	Chacaritas - América de Quito	1:1 ✺
01.07.23	América de Quito - Vinotinto	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
24.05.23	América de Quito - Manta	1:1
28.03.23	Manta - América de Quito	1:0
21.09.22	América de Quito - Manta	1:1
02.08.22	Manta - América de Quito	1:0
11.05.22	América de Quito - Manta	1:0
23.03.22	Manta - América de Quito	1:1
05.10.20	América de Quito - Manta	2:2

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