Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 5

Date: 24 September 2023, Sunday


	Mantova		AlbinoLeffe

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.75	5
	1.64	3.47	5.14
	1.63	3.4	5
	1.63	3.54	4.85
	1.64	3.5	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.75)	3.53 ↑ (3.4)	4.98 ↑ (4.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mantova
55.8%

Draw
25.8%

AlbinoLeffe
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

27%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

26.6%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

AlbinoLeffe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AlbinoLeffe than the current prediction. (+2%)

Mantova - AlbinoLeffe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Festa M. (G) 17. Radaelli N. 5. Redolfi A. 16. Cavalli T. 23. Panizzi E. 21. Trimboli S. 8. Burrai S. 28. Muroni M. 14. Galuppini F. 7. Mensah D. 11. Fiori A.	22. Marietta C. (G) 33. Borghini D. 5. Marchetti S. 13. Milesi L. 16. Gusu M. 6. Doumbia I. 8. Brentan M. 3. Zanini M. 44. Gatti R. 60. Arrighini A. 11. Zoma M. A.
Substitutes
24. Argint G. 6. Bani C. 30. Bragantini D. 13. Brignani F. 25. Castellani A. 4. Celesia C. 9. Debenedetti A. 90. Giacomelli S. 27. Maggioni T. 22. Napoli A. 12. Sonzogni L. (G) 18. Suagher E. 10. Wieser D.	95. Agostinelli M. 42. Allieri A. 19. Angeloni M. 9. Carletti C. 7. Genevier G. 91. Longo S. 72. Moleri L. (G) 27. Munari D. 20. Muzio C. 10. Piccoli M. 1. Pratelli L. (G) 17. Toccafondi D.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mantova won 1.

Mantova is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches AlbinoLeffe is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mantova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mantova is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Mantova to win the game is with odds 1.63.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Mantova won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Mantova won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mantova FC
Italian Serie C Group A
20.09.23	Giana Erminio - Mantova	0:2 ✺
16.09.23	Mantova - Pro Sesto	2:0 ✺
10.09.23	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Mantova	0:2 ✺
04.09.23	Mantova - Padova	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
20.08.23	Mantova - Rimini	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWTT
- UC AlbinoLeffe
Italian Serie C Group A
20.09.23	AlbinoLeffe - Pro Patria	3:1 ✺
17.09.23	Fiorenzuola - AlbinoLeffe	2:1 ✺
10.09.23	AlbinoLeffe - Triestina	1:2 ✺
04.09.23	Vicenza Virtus - AlbinoLeffe	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
20.08.23	Pro Patria - AlbinoLeffe	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
13.05.23	Mantova - AlbinoLeffe	1:1
06.05.23	AlbinoLeffe - Mantova	1:0
02.04.23	AlbinoLeffe - Mantova	0:2
30.11.22	Mantova - AlbinoLeffe	0:1
23.01.22	Mantova - AlbinoLeffe	1:1
19.09.21	AlbinoLeffe - Mantova	1:0
Italian Serie C Group B
05.02.17	Mantova - AlbinoLeffe	1:2

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