Match Info

Date: 24 January 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Mantova		Fermana

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.25	3.6
	2	3.1	3.5
	1.73	3.25	4.4
	1.97	2.95	3.75
	1.98	3.15	4.16
	2	3.1	3.9
	1.97	3.18	3.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.74)	3.14 ↓ (3.29)	3.88 ↓ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mantova
47.2%

Draw
29.2%

Fermana
23.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.9%

27.4%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

18.7%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mantova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Fermana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mantova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fermana than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fermana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mantova - Fermana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 14).

Recent matches Mantova is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fermana is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mantova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mantova is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mantova won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mantova FC
Italian Serie C Group B
16.01.21	Mantova - Triestina	0:0 ✺
10.01.21	Vis Pesaro - Mantova	1:4 ✺
23.12.20	Mantova - Gubbio	1:2 ✺
20.12.20	Legnago Salus - Mantova	0:0 ✺
13.12.20	Mantova - Cesena	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWLTL
- US Fermana
Italian Serie C Group B
16.01.21	Fermana - Legnago Salus	2:1 ✺
09.01.21	Virtus Verona - Fermana	1:1 ✺
23.12.20	Fermana - Vis Pesaro	2:0 ✺
19.12.20	FeralpiSalò - Fermana	1:1 ✺
13.12.20	Fermana - Ravenna	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
27.09.20	Fermana - Mantova	0:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mantova FC
Italian Serie B
31.10.26	Modena - Mantova	✺

Mantova - Fermana