Match Info

Date: 23 December 2020, Wednesday


	Mantova		Gubbio

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.1
	2.15	3	3.25	Watch
	2.3	2.8	3.15
	2.35	2.75	3.05
	2.45	3.02	3.27
	2.4	2.88	3.2
	2.46	2.72	3.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (1.97)	2.9 ↓ (3.13)	3.18 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mantova
39.3%

Draw
31.8%

Gubbio
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

29.3%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

22.2%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mantova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mantova's form might have worsened.

Gubbio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+22.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mantova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gubbio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mantova - Gubbio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 15).

Mantova is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Gubbio is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mantova will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mantova won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Mantova won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mantova FC
Italian Serie C Group B
20.12.20	Legnago Salus - Mantova	0:0 ✺
13.12.20	Mantova - Cesena	0:4 ✺
06.12.20	FeralpiSalò - Mantova	1:3 ✺
29.11.20	Mantova - Ravenna	2:1 ✺
25.11.20	Mantova - Arezzo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TLWWW
- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
20.12.20	Gubbio - Padova	0:3 ✺
13.12.20	Carpi - Gubbio	2:2 ✺
05.12.20	Matelica - Gubbio	1:3 ✺
29.11.20	Gubbio - FeralpiSalò	1:1 ✺
25.11.20	Gubbio - Triestina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
09.04.17	Gubbio - Mantova	3:2
26.11.16	Mantova - Gubbio	0:3

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