Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 25

Date: 10 February 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Fermana		Vis Pesaro

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.85	2.4
	2.9	2.95	2.5	Watch
	2.78	2.97	2.44
	3.07	2.85	2.58
	2.88	2.9	2.4
	2.98	2.76	2.51
	2.9	2.95	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.64)	2.89 ↑ (2.79)	2.48 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fermana
31.5%

Draw
31.6%

Vis Pesaro
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

32.3%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

33.3%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fermana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Vis Pesaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fermana than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Fermana - Vis Pesaro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Furlanetto A. (G) 2. Eleuteri A. 6. Fort F. 25. de Santis I. F. 3. Pistolesi F. 26. Misuraca G. 20. Giandonato M. (C) 16. Fontana T. 90. Petrelli E. 70. Semprini M. 30. Petrungaro L.	1. Neri F. (G) 25. Mattioli A. 6. Rossoni S. 4. Zagnoni D. 13. Neri G. M. 38. Rossetti M. 10. Di Paola M. (C) 39. Iervolino A. 7. Pucciarelli M. 20. Karlsson O. 9. Nicastro F.
Substitutes
1. Borghetto N. (G) 36. Carosso A. 17. Condello S. 24. Gianelli J. 10. Giovinco G. 34. Locanto G. 12. Mancini A. (G) 19. Marcandella D. 28. Niang O. 11. Paponi D. 15. Santi P. 9. Sorrentino L.	19. Afonso Peixoto 85. Castigliani S. 80. Da Pozzo L. 60. Gulli M. 99. Kemayou N. 23. Loru L. 30. Mamona B. 12. Mariani M. (G) 32. Molina J. I. 8. Nina C. 16. Obi J. 11. Pecile D. 22. Polverino E. (G) 37. Valdifiori M.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fermana won 0.

Fermana is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Vis Pesaro is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vis Pesaro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Fermana won 3 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Fermana won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Fermana
Italian Serie C Group B
03.02.24	Cesena - Fermana	1:0 ✺
26.01.24	Recanatese - Fermana	1:3 ✺
21.01.24	Fermana - Gubbio	0:2 ✺
13.01.24	Pontedera - Fermana	4:0 ✺
06.01.24	Fermana - Carrarese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LWLLT
- SSD Vis Pesaro 1898
Italian Serie C Group B
02.02.24	Vis Pesaro - Gubbio	1:3 ✺
27.01.24	Virtus Entella - Vis Pesaro	1:1 ✺
21.01.24	Vis Pesaro - Carrarese	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Olbia - Vis Pesaro	0:1 ✺
06.01.24	Vis Pesaro - SPAL	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
02.10.23	Vis Pesaro - Fermana	2:2
18.03.23	Fermana - Vis Pesaro	0:1
20.11.22	Vis Pesaro - Fermana	1:1
13.02.22	Fermana - Vis Pesaro	1:1
02.10.21	Vis Pesaro - Fermana	2:0
18.04.21	Vis Pesaro - Fermana	1:1
23.12.20	Fermana - Vis Pesaro	2:0

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