The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mantova 16.4%
Draw 24.7%
Modena 58.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.1%
29%
34.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.5%
29.3%
34.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mantova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mantova's form might have worsened.
Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Modena's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+20.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mantova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-24.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Modena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
28.6%
57.1%
Mantova - Modena Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Mantova will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Modena will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
1. Festa M. (C) 17. Radaelli N. 6. Bani C. 37. Majer Z. 3. Mantovani V. 21. Trimboli S. 27. Castellini A. 18. Falletti C. 7. Mensah D. 9. Mancuso L. 28. Caprini M.
1. Chichizola L. (G) 77. Tonoli D. 25. Dellavalle A. 20. Nieling B. 7. Zampano F. 5. Sersanti A. 16. Gerli F. (C) 8. Santoro S. 98. Zanimacchia L. 23. Di Mariano F. 9. Gliozzi E.
Substitutes
22. Andrenacci L. (G) 8. Artioli F. 99. Bonfanti N. 30. Bragantini D. 20. Fedel G. 11. Fiori A. 14. Galuppini F. 96. Maggioni T. 23. Marras T. 4. Mullen S. 53. Pittino T. 10. Wieser D.
2. Beyuku G. 10. Caso G. 33. Cauz C. 29. Cotali M. 92. Defrel G. 6. Magnino L. 17. Massolin Y. 11. Mendes P. 19. Nador S. 4. Pergreffi A. 22. Pezzolato M. (G) 18. Pyyhtia N.
Coaches
Possanzini D.
Sottil A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Gliozzi E. ⚽, Zampano F. (A),
9', Majer Z. 🟨,
13', Gliozzi E. (Pen),
14', Di Mariano F. 🟨,
24', Radaelli N. 🟨,
29', Nieling B. 🟨,
37', Nieling B. ↓, Cauz C. ↑,
38', 0 - 2, Tonoli D. ⚽, Di Mariano F. (A),
44', Gerli F. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 2, Mancuso L. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Castellini A. 🟨,
66', Falletti C. ↓, Bragantini D. ↑,
66', Caprini M. ↓, Fiori A. ↑,
66', Bani C. ↓, Maggioni T. ↑,
68', 1 - 3, Majer Z. (Own goal),
74', Gliozzi E. ↓, Mendes P. ↑,
75', Gerli F. ↓, Magnino L. ↑,
75', Sersanti A. ↓, Pyyhtia N. ↑,
75', Mensah D. ↓, Bonfanti N. ↑,
86', Di Mariano F. ↓, Defrel G. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mantova won 0.
Mantova is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Modena is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Recently, Mantova has had a series of away games.
Modena might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Mantova: Artioli F.
(Inactive)
Ruocco F.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Modena: Strizzolo L.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Mantova: Mantovani V.
(Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Mantova won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.5:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Mantova won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.3:0).
Italy
World
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Festa M. (C) 
Majer Z. 
Falletti C. 
Chichizola L. (G) 
Nieling B. 
Mullen S. 
Beyuku G. 
Mendes P. 
Nador S. 
Pyyhtia N. 
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