Match Info

Serie B - Round 3

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Comunale (Chiavari)

Referee: Allegretta C. G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Virtus Entella		Mantova

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.2	4.1	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.5
	2	3.05	3.85
	2.17	3.08	3.82
	1.38	4.37	8.62	Watch
	2.09	3.16	3.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.07)	3.33 ↑ (3.22)	4.65 ↑ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Entella
49.9%

Draw
29.2%

Mantova
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

29.3%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

28.6%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Entella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Mantova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	40%	10%

Virtus Entella - Mantova Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Virtus Entella will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Mantova will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Virtus Entella: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Virtus Entella (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Virtus Entella (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Colombi S. (G) 57. Del Lungo T. 6. Tiritiello A. 15. Marconi I. (C) 94. Mezzoni F. 4. Nichetti M. 27. Dalla Vecchia M. 26. Di Mario S. 11. Guiu B. 24. Franzoni A. 20. Fumagalli T.	1. Festa M. (C) 3. Mantovani V. 27. Castellini A. 6. Bani C. 17. Radaelli N. 21. Trimboli S. 10. Wieser D. 11. Fiori A. 14. Galuppini F. 99. Bonfanti N. 9. Mancuso L.
Substitutes
45. Ankeye D. 7. Bariti D. 50. Benali A. 77. Boccadamo A. 19. Debenedetti A. 22. Del Frate F. (G) 8. Karic N. 25. Lipani J. 42. Moretti L. 23. Parodi L. 90. Portanova D. 80. Rinaldini R. (G)	22. Andrenacci L. (G) 30. Bragantini D. 28. Caprini M. 18. Falletti C. 20. Fedel G. 96. Maggioni T. 37. Majer Z. 23. Marras T. 7. Mensah D. 4. Mullen S. 36. Paoletti F. 53. Pittino T.
Coaches
Chiappella A.	Possanzini D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Tiritiello A. ⚽, Guiu B. (A),
32', Mantovani V. ↓, Maggioni T. ↑,
38', Franzoni A. 🟨,
45+3', Fumagalli T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Mancuso L. ↓, Falletti C. ↑,
59', Bonfanti N. ↓, Mensah D. ↑,
59', Fiori A. ↓, Caprini M. ↑,
65', Fumagalli T. ↓, Debenedetti A. ↑,
65', Guiu B. ↓, Ankeye D. ↑,
74', Di Mario S. 🟨,
75', Del Lungo T. ↓, Parodi L. ↑,
75', Wieser D. ↓, Majer Z. ↑,
85', Dalla Vecchia M. ↓, Karic N. ↑,
85', Di Mario S. ↓, Boccadamo A. ↑,

Preview

In recent matches, Virtus Entella has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mantova is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Virtus Entella could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Virtus Entella: Lipani J. (Foot Injury) Siaulys O. (Inactive)

There will not play in Mantova: Artioli F. (Inactive) Maggioni T. (Inactive)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Virtus Entella - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 45.44%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Entella
Italian Serie B
30.08.25	Cesena - Virtus Entella	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Virtus Entella - Juve Stabia	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
16.08.25	Cagliari - Virtus Entella	2:1 penalties ✺
09.08.25	Virtus Entella - Ternana	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
30.07.25	Virtus Entella - Bra	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TTLWW
- Mantova FC
Italian Serie B
30.08.25	Mantova - Pescara	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Monza - Mantova	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
16.08.25	Venezia - Mantova	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Lumezzane - Mantova	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Mantova - Cesena	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 WLLTL

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