Match Info

Serie B - Round 14

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Pierluigi Penzo (Venice)

Referee: Pezzuto I. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Venezia		Mantova

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.75	5.75	Watch
	1.48	4.35	5.7	Watch
	1.51	4.55	6.36
	1.45	4.31	6.72	Watch
	1.49	4.3	6.11	Watch
	1.48	4.5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.45)	4.46 ↑ (4.31)	6.11 ↓ (6.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Venezia
63.6%

Draw
21.1%

Mantova
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

21.7%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

21%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	18.2%	9.1%

Venezia - Mantova Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Venezia will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Mantova will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Venezia: 46.4% – 99%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stankovic F. (G) 3. Schingtienne J. 30. Svoboda M. (C) 33. Sverko M. 19. Bjarkason B. 71. Perez K. 6. Busio G. 8. Doumbia I. 18. Hainaut A. 10. Yeboah J. 7. Fila D.	1. Festa M. (C) 17. Radaelli N. 27. Castellini A. 29. Cella S. 6. Bani C. 10. Wieser D. 8. Artioli F. 21. Trimboli S. 7. Mensah D. 23. Marras T. 19. Ruocco F.
Substitutes
9. Adorante A. 37. Bohinen E. 80. Casas A. 21. Compagnon M. 32. Duncan A. 23. Grandi M. (G) 5. Haps R. 2. Korac S. 24. Lella N. 20. Sagrado R. 48. Sidibe A. 16. Venturi M.	22. Andrenacci L. (G) 99. Bonfanti N. 28. Caprini M. 18. Falletti C. 20. Fedel G. 11. Fiori A. 14. Galuppini F. 96. Maggioni T. 37. Majer Z. 4. Mullen S. 36. Paoletti F. 53. Pittino T.
Coaches
Stroppa G.	Possanzini D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', Bani C. 🟨,
31', Sverko M. ↓, Haps R. ↑,
36', 1 - 0, Hainaut A. ⚽,
42', Svoboda M. 🟨,
45+1', Radaelli N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Fila D. ↓, Adorante A. ↑,
47', Radaelli N. 🟨,
50', Ruocco F. ↓, Maggioni T. ↑,
57', 2 - 0, Adorante A. (Pen),
60', 3 - 0, Adorante A. ⚽,
62', Mensah D. ↓, Bonfanti N. ↑,
62', Trimboli S. ↓, Caprini M. ↑,
67', Schingtienne J. 🟨,
70', Hainaut A. ↓, Sagrado R. ↑,
76', Busio G. ↓, Casas A. ↑,
76', Perez K. ↓, Duncan A. ↑,
76', Marras T. ↓, Fedel G. ↑,
76', Wieser D. ↓, Paoletti F. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venezia won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Venezia is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Venezia: Conde C. (Broken Leg) Haps R. (Inactive) Pietrelli A. (Inactive) Plizzari A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Mantova: Mantovani V. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Venezia: Franjic B. (Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Venezia won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:2. (average 1.7:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Venezia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 2.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venezia FC
Italian Serie B
22.11.25	Padova - Venezia	0:2 ✺
08.11.25	Venezia - Sampdoria	3:1 ✺
02.11.25	Catanzaro - Venezia	2:1 ✺
29.10.25	Venezia - Südtirol-Alto Adige	3:0 ✺
25.10.25	Carrarese - Venezia	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLWL
- Mantova FC
Italian Serie B
23.11.25	Mantova - Spezia	4:1 ✺
08.11.25	Mantova - Padova	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Sampdoria - Mantova	0:1 ✺
29.10.25	Mantova - Catanzaro	1:3 ✺
26.10.25	Bari - Mantova	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
16.08.25	Venezia - Mantova	4:0
Italian Serie C Group B
30.12.16	Venezia - Mantova	3:1
03.09.16	Mantova - Venezia	0:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
13.08.16	Venezia - Mantova	1:0
Italian Serie C Group A
30.01.15	Venezia - Mantova	1:0
13.09.14	Mantova - Venezia	0:1
Italian Lega Pro C2/A
03.03.13	Mantova - Venezia	1:2

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