Match Info

Date: 29 November 2020, Sunday


	Mantova		Ravenna

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	4.33
	1.8	3.2	4.1	Watch
	1.9	3.1	3.8
	1.73	3.15	4.6
	1.77	3.36	4.96
	1.85	3.1	4.6
	1.84	3.3	4.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.99)	3.23 ↓ (3.26)	4.38 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mantova
50.7%

Draw
28.4%

Ravenna
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

27.7%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

19.6%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mantova's performance.

Ravenna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ravenna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-18.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mantova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ravenna than the current prediction. (+16.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ravenna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mantova - Ravenna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 17 in the zone Serie C to Play Out).

Recent matches Mantova is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ravenna is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ravenna could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mantova is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mantova FC
Italian Serie C Group B
25.11.20	Mantova - Arezzo	2:0 ✺
22.11.20	Virtus Verona - Mantova	1:1 ✺
16.11.20	Mantova - Modena	0:0 ✺
11.11.20	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Mantova	2:1 ✺
01.11.20	Mantova - Imolese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTTLT
- Ravenna FC
Italian Serie C Group B
22.11.20	Ravenna - Sambenedettese	1:1 ✺
15.11.20	Cesena - Ravenna	4:0 ✺
11.11.20	Ravenna - Gubbio	1:2 ✺
07.11.20	Matelica - Ravenna	3:2 ✺
01.11.20	Ravenna - Fano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLLW

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