Match Info

Date: 25 April 2021, Sunday


	Mantova		Vis Pesaro

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.62	3.8
	2.4	2.55	3.3
	2.35	2.35	3.9
	2.43	2.5	3.3
	2.46	2.54	3.36
	2.35	2.8	3.1
	2.48	2.38	3.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2)	2.53 ↓ (2.59)	3.52 ↓ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mantova
38.1%

Draw
36%

Vis Pesaro
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

35.7%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

27.3%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mantova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mantova's form might have worsened.

Vis Pesaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vis Pesaro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+22.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mantova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vis Pesaro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.8%	74.1%	11.1%

Mantova - Vis Pesaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Mantova will win (votes: 4 - 14.8%). Vis Pesaro will win (votes: 3 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 74.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 57.6% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 15).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Mantova will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mantova won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mantova FC
Italian Serie C Group B
18.04.21	Gubbio - Mantova	0:0 ✺
11.04.21	Mantova - Legnago Salus	0:2 ✺
03.04.21	Cesena - Mantova	0:0 ✺
31.03.21	Ravenna - Mantova	0:2 ✺
28.03.21	Mantova - FeralpiSalò	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLTWL
- SSD Vis Pesaro 1898
Italian Serie C Group B
18.04.21	Vis Pesaro - Fermana	1:1 ✺
11.04.21	Arezzo - Vis Pesaro	4:2 ✺
03.04.21	Vis Pesaro - Imolese	2:1 ✺
28.03.21	Fano - Vis Pesaro	1:1 ✺
21.03.21	Vis Pesaro - Padova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
10.01.21	Vis Pesaro - Mantova	1:4

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