Match Info

Date: 18 April 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Gubbio		Mantova

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.1	2.87
	2.4	2.85	2.9
	2.35	2.85	3
	2.43	2.8	2.9
	2.57	2.85	3.18
	2.45	3	3
	2.43	3.02	2.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.27)	2.92 ↓ (2.96)	2.97 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gubbio
37.8%

Draw
31.4%

Mantova
30.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.7%

30.5%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

21.2%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gubbio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gubbio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mantova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gubbio - Mantova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 10 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Gubbio is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Mantova is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Gubbio won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Gubbio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
11.04.21	Padova - Gubbio	1:0 ✺
03.04.21	Gubbio - Carpi	0:4 ✺
31.03.21	Cesena - Gubbio	2:1 ✺
27.03.21	Gubbio - Matelica	3:0 ✺
21.03.21	FeralpiSalò - Gubbio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLWL
- Mantova FC
Italian Serie C Group B
11.04.21	Mantova - Legnago Salus	0:2 ✺
03.04.21	Cesena - Mantova	0:0 ✺
31.03.21	Ravenna - Mantova	0:2 ✺
28.03.21	Mantova - FeralpiSalò	0:1 ✺
17.03.21	Mantova - Virtus Verona	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
23.12.20	Mantova - Gubbio	1:2
09.04.17	Gubbio - Mantova	3:2
26.11.16	Mantova - Gubbio	0:3

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
01.11.26	Gubbio - Vis Pesaro	✺
- Mantova FC
Italian Serie B
31.10.26	Modena - Mantova	✺

Gubbio - Mantova