The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gubbio 37.8%
Draw 31.4%
Mantova 30.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.7%
30.5%
29.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.6%
21.2%
42.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gubbio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gubbio that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mantova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Gubbio - Mantova Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 10 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).
Gubbio is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Mantova is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Gubbio won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Gubbio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.