Match Info

Premier League - Round 2

Date: 19 October 2026, Monday


	Mara Sugar		Mombasa United

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Mara Sugar
48.3%

Draw
29.8%

Mombasa United
21.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.1%

27.6%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mara Sugar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mara Sugar's form might have worsened.

Mombasa United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Mara Sugar could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Mara Sugar carries the favorite tag into this contest.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mara Sugar FC
Kenyan Premier League
31.05.26	Muranga Seal - Mara Sugar	2:1 ✺
24.04.26	Tusker - Mara Sugar	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Kariobangi Sharks - Mara Sugar	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Mara Sugar - Posta Rangers	1:0 ✺
01.04.26	Nairobi United - Mara Sugar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWLWT
- Mombasa United
Kenyan Premier League
14.10.26	Mombasa United - Kakamega Homeboyz	0:1 ✺
06.10.26	Kariobangi Sharks - Mombasa United	Awarded ✺
01.10.26	Mombasa United - Kariobangi Sharks	2:1 ✺
Kenyan Super League
27.05.26	Mombasa United - 3K	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Mombasa United - Migori Youth	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 L?WTT

Mara Sugar - Mombasa United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide