Match Info

Premier League - Round 2

Date: 20 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Police FC		AFC Leopards

	1	X	2
	2.80	2.62	2.62
	2.89	2.70	2.67
	2.29	2.77	3.39	Watch
	2.85	2.60	2.55
	2.81	2.76	2.68
	2.85	2.70	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.41)	2.69 ↓ (2.81)	2.76 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Police FC
33.1%

Draw
33.8%

AFC Leopards
33%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.9%

32.5%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Police FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

AFC Leopards has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Police FC - AFC Leopards Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', 0 - 1, Luke Otiala K. ⚽,
58', 1 - 1, Rupia E. ⚽, Omondi E. (A),
90+2', 1 - 2, Sichenje R. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Police won 2.

Leopards may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Police has recorded 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:8 (averaging 0.8:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Police against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:5 goals (averaging 0.6:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Leopards	3	1	2	0	2:1	1	5
13	Police FC	3	0	2	1	2:3	-1	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kenya Police FC
Kenyan Premier League
11.10.26	Migori Youth - Police FC	1:1 ✺
Kenyan FKF Cup
14.06.26	Tusker - Police FC	2:1 ✺
Kenyan Premier League
31.05.26	Police FC - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:1 ✺
Kenyan FKF Cup
16.05.26	Police FC - Bandari	1:0 penalties ✺
02.05.26	Shabana - Police FC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLTWW
- AFC Leopards
Kenyan Premier League
14.10.26	AFC Leopards - Bandari	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.08.26	AFC Leopards - Kampala City Council	1:0 ✺
Kenyan Premier League
31.05.26	AFC Leopards - Bidco United	1:2 ✺
13.05.26	Ulinzi Stars - AFC Leopards	0:2 ✺
26.04.26	AFC Leopards - Gor Mahia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
18.04.26	AFC Leopards - Police FC	0:3
13.12.25	Police FC - AFC Leopards	0:0
04.03.25	Police FC - AFC Leopards	0:0
01.12.24	AFC Leopards - Police FC	1:0
Kenyan FKF Cup
26.05.24	Police FC - AFC Leopards	1:0
Kenyan Premier League
23.09.23	Police FC - AFC Leopards	2:2
25.01.23	AFC Leopards - Police FC	1:0

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