Match Info

BRAZIL: Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/32-finals

Date: 12 March 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Almir Dutra (Maracanaú)


	Maracanã		Ceilândia

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.6
	2.05	2.95	3.5
	2.2	3	3.55
	2.23	2.94	3.62
	2.16	2.89	3.58	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.4
	2.19	3.08	3.52
	2.2	3	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.6)	2.97 ↓ (3.13)	3.54 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Maracanã
42.6%

Draw
31.2%

Ceilândia
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

29.6%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

30.3%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maracanã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maracanã's performance.

Ceilândia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ceilândia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maracanã than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maracanã that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceilândia than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ceilândia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Maracanã - Ceilândia Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Maracanã will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Ceilândia will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Rayr (G) 9. Bravo 7. Davi Torres 14. Jairo (C) 6. Leandro Cerqueira 8. Michel Pires 13. Rafael Mandacaru 17. Testinha 11. Thales L. S. 4. Wendell 15. Wilker	22. Edmar Sucuri (G) 6. Badhuga (C) 11. Clemente L. 7. Cordeiro Nunes K. L. 13. Felipe Camargo 20. Junior Timbo 8. Lagoa 3. Lucas Mingoti 16. Menezes 21. Nando 2. Paulinho
Substitutes
25. Alan Ferreira 3. Edimar 1. Gabriel Teixeira (G) 19. Hugo Freitas 5. Jair Berlitz 2. Joao Carlos 18. Luan Lucas 21. Matheus Taumaturgo 10. Patuta 27. Shider 12. Vitor (G)	5. Batista de Oliveira J. C. 14. Diego Bolt 1. Elias (G) 15. Lucas Silva 10. Milla 12. Pablo 23. Pedro Bambu 18. Rafael Sayao 19. Valter Bala

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Thales L. S. ↓, Patuta ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Patuta 🟨,
64', 🟨,
66', Nando ↓, Valter Bala ↑,
66', Menezes ↓, Pedro Bambu ↑,
66', Paulinho ↓, Diego Bolt ↑,
74', Wilker ↓, Jair Berlitz ↑,
74', Testinha ↓, Luan Lucas ↑,
74', Davi Torres ↓, Shider ↑,
77', Junior Timbo ↓, Rafael Sayao ↑,
82', Badhuga ↓, Batista de Oliveira J. C. ↑,
86', Bravo ↓, Matheus Taumaturgo ↑,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, Pedro Bambu (Pen),
1, Jair Berlitz (Pen),
2, Lagoa (Pen),
2, Luan Lucas (Pen),
3, Valter Bala (Pen),
3, Jairo (Pen),
4, Diego Bolt (Pen),
4, Leandro Cerqueira (Pen),
5, Rafael Sayao (Pen),
5, Rafael Mandacaru (Pen),
6, (Pen),
6, (Pen),

Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Ceilândia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Maracanã have a series of home games.

In this match Maracanã is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maracanã EC
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
09.03.25	Ceará - Maracanã	4:0 ✺
02.03.25	Maracanã - Ceará	0:3 ✺
Copa do Brasil
26.02.25	Maracanã - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
23.02.25	Maracanã - Horizonte	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Horizonte - Maracanã	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLWWW
- Ceilândia
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
08.03.25	Ceilândia - Samambaia	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
27.02.25	Ceilândia - Coritiba	3:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
23.02.25	Capital CF Ltda - Ceilândia	4:1 ✺
17.02.25	Ceilândia - Gama	2:0 ✺
13.02.25	Legião - Ceilândia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TWLWW

Maracanã - Ceilândia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide