Match Info

Maranhense - Round 7

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Governador João Castelo (São Luís)


	Maranhão		Luminense

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.5	5.5
	1.5	3.68	5.48
	1.59	3.59	5.4	Watch
	1.53	3.3	6
	1.47	3.6	6.96
	1.52	3.75	5.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.53)	3.57 ↓ (3.73)	5.83 ↑ (5.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maranhão
59.2%

Draw
25.3%

Luminense
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

24.4%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

23.9%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maranhão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Luminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maranhão than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luminense than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Maranhão - Luminense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Vander ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Maranhense (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Maranhense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Maranhão may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Maranhão is a strong favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maranhão AC
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
28.01.26	IAPE - Maranhão	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Imperatriz de Desportos - Maranhão	0:1 ✺
21.01.26	Maranhão - ITZ Sport	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Sampaio Corrêa - Maranhão	4:2 ✺
14.01.26	Maranhão - Tuntum	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWLW
- Luminense AC
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
28.01.26	ITZ Sport - Luminense	0:2 ✺
25.01.26	Sampaio Corrêa - Luminense	1:1 ✺
22.01.26	Luminense - IAPE	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Luminense - Moto Club de São Luís	0:3 ✺
14.01.26	Luminense - Imperatriz de Desportos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WTLLW

Maranhão - Luminense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide