Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 4

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Governador João Castelo (São Luís)


	Maranhão		Volta Redonda

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.48	2.82	2.78
	2.65	3.05	2.85
	2.65	2.81	2.91
	2.5	2.7	2.75
	2.56	2.76	2.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.22)	2.83 ↓ (3.08)	2.81 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Maranhão
35.5%

Draw
32.2%

Volta Redonda
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

29.7%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

29.2%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maranhão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maranhão's form might have worsened.

Volta Redonda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maranhão than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Maranhão - Volta Redonda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jean (G) 16. Andre Radija (C) 18. Keven 4. Lucao 26. Luis Gustavo 25. Mauricio 19. Rafael Teixeira 15. Rosivan 20. Vagalume 8. Vander 17. Will	1. Avelino (G) 13. Alan 19. Blanco O. 5. Bruno Barra (C) 6. Jean Victor 3. Lucas Adell 10. Luciano Naninho 7. Marquinhos 16. Pedro Costa 26. Romarinho 17. Wagninho
Substitutes
2. Ball 29. Felipe Cruz 7. Felipe Sales 21. Joelson 10. Jorge Rocha 6. Lucas Santos 11. Pimentinha 5. Railson 22. Rodrigo 14. Tiburcio 12. Vitao	18. Caio Henrique 45. Deivity (G) 8. Dener 25. Juliano Fabro 22. Juninho Monteiro 30. Juninho Ramos 27. Kaua Souza 23. Matheus Moresche 14. Rafael Castro
Coaches
Guerreiro M.	William De Mattia

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Vander ⚽,
17', Wagninho 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Jean (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Romarinho ↓, Juliano Fabro ↑,
59', Vagalume 🟨,
62', Rafael Teixeira ↓, Pimentinha ↑,
62', Vagalume ↓, Jorge Rocha ↑,
62', Luis Gustavo ↓, Felipe Cruz ↑,
75', Wagninho ↓, Dener ↑,
77', 2 - 1, Felipe Cruz ⚽,
79', Will ↓, Felipe Sales ↑,
79', Vander ↓, Railson ↑,
82', Marquinhos ↓, Matheus Moresche ↑,
83', Pedro Costa ↓, Kaua Souza ↑,
83', Luciano Naninho ↓, Juninho Monteiro ↑,
83', Alan 🟨,
86', Andre Radija ↓, Lucas Santos ↑,
87', Lucas Adell ↓, Caio Henrique ↑,
90+3', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 16).

Recent form of Maranhão has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Volta Redonda has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Maranhão has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Maranhão - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.19%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maranhão AC
Brazilian Serie C
18.04.26	Amazonas - Maranhão	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
15.04.26	Sport Recife - Maranhão	5:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
11.04.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Maranhão	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
08.04.26	Imperatriz de Desportos - Maranhão	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
04.04.26	Maranhão - Guarani	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLTT
- Volta Redonda
Brazilian Serie C
18.04.26	Volta Redonda - Caxias	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
15.04.26	Volta Redonda - Tombense	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
12.04.26	Guarani - Volta Redonda	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
08.04.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Volta Redonda	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
05.04.26	Volta Redonda - Paysandu	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLTL

Maranhão - Volta Redonda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide