Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 29

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Marbella (Marbella)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Marbella		Alcoyano

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.88	3.25
	2.15	2.95	3.1
	2.24	3.1	3.2
	2.25	2.98	3.24	Watch
	2.23	3.1	3.21
	2.24	3.1	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.3)	3.02 ↑ (2.95)	3.2 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marbella
41.2%

Draw
30.3%

Alcoyano
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

31%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

27%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marbella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Alcoyano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marbella that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Marbella - Alcoyano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Puerto E. (G) 14. Olguin M. 10. Punal A. 20. Bernardo 3. Fornes G. 6. Duarte J. 25. Lopez A. 18. Awudu T. 11. Soto A. 19. Ohemeng E. 7. Callejon J. (C)	13. Valens J. (G) 17. Lopez S. 2. Ferriz P. 18. Atienza P. 3. Rodriguez A. 6. Garcia I. 20. Undabarrena E. 14. Anton J. 9. de Palmas R. 7. Herrera C. 19. Losada M.
Substitutes
2. Alvarez J. . Carrasco J. 9. Du Yuezheng 26. Jose 27. Lopez M. 13. Martin D. (G) 21. Munoz P. 23. Pena M. 12. Suner P. M. 8. Zequi	15. Blanco C. 1. Garcia M. (G) 10. Lara J. A. 8. Molina D. 24. Qasmi Y. 22. Velazquez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
37', Duarte J. 🟨,
39', de Palmas R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', de Palmas R. ↓, Velazquez D. ↑,
49', 🟨,
61', Duarte J. ↓, Pena M. ↑,
64', 0 - 1, Losada M. ⚽,
70', Ohemeng E. ↓, Suner P. M. ↑,
70', Awudu T. ↓, Zequi ↑,
74', Herrera C. ↓, Molina D. ↑,
76', Valens J. 🟨,
80', Lopez A. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
83', Losada M. ↓, Blanco C. ↑,
85', Zequi 🟨,
87', 0 - 2, Velazquez D. ⚽,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Marbella is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alcoyano is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Marbella will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marbella won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Last Results with these Odds

Alcoyano - the odds 3.14 are the expected chance of winning is 29.13%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marbella FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
15.03.25	Betis B - Marbella	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Marbella - Villarreal B	0:2 ✺
01.03.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Marbella	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Marbella - Algeciras	3:1 ✺
14.02.25	Yeclano Deportivo - Marbella	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLTWT
- CD Alcoyano
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
15.03.25	Sevilla B - Alcoyano	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	Alcoyano - Hércules	1:2 ✺
01.03.25	Alcorcón - Alcoyano	0:0 ✺
22.02.25	Alcoyano - Yeclano Deportivo	0:0 ✺
16.02.25	Villarreal B - Alcoyano	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
04.10.24	Alcoyano - Marbella	2:1

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