Match Info

Date: 12 December 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Maria da Fonte		Vilaverdense

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.6	1.75
	3.75	3.55	1.7
	3.95	3.5	1.75
	4.15	3.79	1.79
	4.15	3.68	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.94 ↓ (4.62)	3.62 ↑ (3.43)	1.75 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria da Fonte
23%

Draw
25%

Vilaverdense
51.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

19.7%

26.6%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.7%

19.8%

65.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria da Fonte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Vilaverdense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria da Fonte than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maria da Fonte that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vilaverdense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Maria da Fonte is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vilaverdense is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Vilaverdense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Vilaverdense is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Maria da Fonte won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Maria da Fonte won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria da Fonte
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.12.21	Juventude de Pedras Salgadas - Maria da Fonte	2:0 ✺
05.12.21	Camacha - Maria da Fonte	1:1 ✺
28.11.21	Maria da Fonte - Vianense	2:0 ✺
14.11.21	Marítimo B - Maria da Fonte	1:0 ✺
07.11.21	Maria da Fonte - Forjães	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTWLW
- Vilaverdense FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.12.21	Vilaverdense - Merelinense	1:1 ✺
28.11.21	Limianos - Vilaverdense	1:2 ✺
14.11.21	Vilaverdense - Câmara de Lobos	4:1 ✺
31.10.21	Juventude de Pedras Salgadas - Vilaverdense	0:1 ✺
24.10.21	Vilaverdense - Camacha	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
04.09.21	Vilaverdense - Maria da Fonte	1:0
10.01.21	Vilaverdense - Maria da Fonte	0:1
03.03.19	Maria da Fonte - Vilaverdense	2:2

Maria da Fonte - Vilaverdense

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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