Match Info

Date: 21 May 2022, Saturday


	Mariglianese		Francavilla

	1	X	2
	3.7	2.35	2.3
	6.45	1.63	2.57
	4.2	2.69	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.78 ↑ (3.41)	2.22 ↓ (3.21)	2.32 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mariglianese
19.2%

Draw
41.2%

Francavilla
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

28.5%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

30.6%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariglianese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mariglianese's form might have worsened.

Francavilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francavilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariglianese than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mariglianese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francavilla than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francavilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.5%	85.7%	4.8%

Mariglianese - Francavilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Mariglianese will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). Francavilla will win (votes: 1 - 4.8%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 85.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 70.7% – 100%.

#ad

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).

Francavilla is Qualified for Serie D ~ Play Offs

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Francavilla will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mariglianese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Mariglianese
Italian Serie D - Group H
15.05.22	Città di Brindisi - Mariglianese	0:1 ✺
08.05.22	Mariglianese - Nocerina	1:0 ✺
04.05.22	Bitonto - Mariglianese	2:1 ✺
30.04.22	Mariglianese - Nardo	2:3 ✺
24.04.22	Lavello - Mariglianese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWLLW
- FC Francavilla
Italian Serie D - Group H
15.05.22	Francavilla - Bitonto	1:0 ✺
08.05.22	Lavello - Francavilla	1:3 ✺
24.04.22	Casertana - Francavilla	0:1 ✺
14.04.22	Francavilla - Audace Cerignola	0:1 ✺
10.04.22	Gravina - Francavilla	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
02.03.22	Francavilla - Mariglianese	2:1

Mariglianese - Francavilla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide