Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 18

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Willie Davids (Maringá)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Maringá		Barra Santa Catarina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	3.6	5
	1.65	3.25	4.7
	1.56	3.8	5.68
	1.6	3.76	5.56	Watch
	1.54	3.55	5.3
	1.55	3.6	5.58	Watch
	1.55	3.6	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.7)	3.59 ↑ (3.4)	5.29 ↑ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maringá
57.7%

Draw
25.2%

Barra Santa Catarina
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

26.4%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

25.5%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maringá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Barra Santa Catarina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maringá than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barra Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Maringá - Barra Santa Catarina Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Maringá will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Barra will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Maringá (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Neto (G) 8. Adeilson 99. Caique Calito 7. Edison Negueba 44. Jesiel 18. Jhow Alecxander 28. Lucas Bonifacio 23. Paulinho 21. Ronald Camarao 30. Ronald Carvalho 4. Wendel Lomar	1. Fabian Volpi (G) 6. Adriel 2. Augusto Potiguar 7. Cleo Silva 3. Jean Pierre (C) 10. Marquinho 5. Natan Costa 8. Pedro Pecanha 9. Renan Bernabe 11. Saymon 4. Vava Franca
Substitutes
1. Affonso de Jesus G. (G) 20. Bruno Cheron 11. Danielzinho 3. Gabriel Santos 2. Gabriel Souza 9. Giovane Gomez 17. Iago Santana 5. Kelvi Gomes 77. Rafinha 29. Rai Natalino 16. Rian Patric 37. Serginho	18. Betinho 13. Da Rocha 16. Gabriel Silva 19. Marcelinho 15. Matheus Barbosa 12. Matheus Kayser (G) 14. Tete 20. Vinicius Popo 17. Warley Jr
Coaches
Moises Egert	Evaristo Piza

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Jesiel ↓, Gabriel Souza ↑,
26', 🟨,
31', Ronald Carvalho 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', 0 - 1, Saymon ⚽,
61', Lucas Bonifacio ↓, Giovane Gomez ↑,
62', Saymon ↓, Betinho ↑,
62', Renan Bernabe ↓, Gabriel Silva ↑,
66', Augusto Potiguar 🟨,
67', Pedro Pecanha ↓, Tete ↑,
73', Adeilson ↓, Serginho ↑,
73', Paulinho ↓, Iago Santana ↑,
73', Caique Calito ↓, Rai Natalino ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Edison Negueba ⚽,
86', Cleo Silva ↓, Warley Jr ↑,
86', Marquinho ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
87', 2 - 1, Giovane Gomez ⚽,
90', Serginho 🟥,
90+1', 🟨,
90+5', Warley Jr 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 17).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Barra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Maringá is considered a favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Outrights of Brazilian Serie C for now

Maringa FC: 6.99% Barra FC: 2.7%

Last Results with these Odds

Maringá - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 52.89%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maringá FC
Brazilian Serie C
16.08.26	Confiança - Maringá	1:1 ✺
09.08.26	Maringá - Amazonas	0:3 ✺
27.07.26	Floresta - Maringá	1:1 ✺
12.07.26	Anápolis - Maringá	0:1 ✺
04.07.26	Maringá - Volta Redonda	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLTWW
- Barra Santa Catarina
Brazilian Serie C
16.08.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Itabaiana	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Ituano - Barra Santa Catarina	2:0 ✺
26.07.26	Ypiranga - Barra Santa Catarina	1:0 ✺
12.07.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Santa Cruz Recife	1:2 ✺
04.07.26	Confiança - Barra Santa Catarina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLLW

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