Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 15

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Olímpico Colosso da Lagoa (Erechim)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Ypiranga		Barra Santa Catarina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.93	3.10	3.50
	1.88	3.1	3.85	Watch
	1.92	3.4	3.97
	1.93	3.28	4	Watch
	1.87	3.05	3.85
	1.87	3.25	3.86	Watch
	1.91	3.10	3.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.06)	3.18 ↑ (3.05)	3.82 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ypiranga
47.7%

Draw
28.5%

Barra Santa Catarina
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

30.4%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

29.9%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ypiranga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Barra Santa Catarina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ypiranga than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barra Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Ypiranga - Barra Santa Catarina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
85. Lucas Maticoli (G) 33. Alex Goncalves 2. Cleiton 27. Dionisio 21. Leo Gobo 79. Leo Rafael 16. Lucas Ramos 15. Mago 80. Marcelinho 6. Nicolas 3. Willian Gomes	1. Fabian Volpi (G) 2. Augusto Potiguar 4. Everton Alemao 3. Jean Pierre (C) 11. Marcelinho 7. Marquinho 6. Pablo Gabriel 5. Pedro Pecanha 9. Renan Bernabe 8. Tete 10. Warley Jr
Substitutes
20. Dudu 7. Felipe Ferreira 28. Gustavo Simoes 41. Kauan Bruno 23. Pitol L. 17. Ranisson 9. Renan Gorne 5. Rian 11. Vini Charopem 22. Walce 43. Wesllen 35. Ze Carlos (G)	17. Betinho 20. Gabriel Silva 14. Joao Vinicius 16. Lucas Vargas 12. Matheus Kayser (G) 15. Nikolas Francisco 19. Saymon 18. Vinicius Popo 13. Yuri N.
Coaches
Gabardo Junior	Evaristo Piza

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Augusto Potiguar 🟨,
6', Dionisio 🟨,
25', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Nicolas ⚽,
62', Warley Jr ↓, Saymon ↑,
62', Marcelinho ↓, Betinho ↑,
64', Lucas Ramos ↓, Vini Charopem ↑,
68', Leo Rafael 🟨,
71', Leo Rafael ↓, Ranisson ↑,
71', Marcelinho ↓, Dudu ↑,
73', Renan Bernabe ↓, Lucas Vargas ↑,
73', Pablo Gabriel ↓, Gabriel Silva ↑,
87', 🟨,
90', 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 18).

Ypiranga has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Barra's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ypiranga could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Outrights of Brazilian Serie C for now

Barra FC: 2.7%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ypiranga FC
Brazilian Serie C
12.07.26	Maranhão - Ypiranga	2:1 ✺
05.07.26	Ypiranga - Paysandu	1:0 ✺
28.06.26	Ypiranga - Confiança	1:1 ✺
20.06.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Ypiranga	0:1 ✺
15.06.26	Ypiranga - Botafogo PB	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWTWT
- Barra Santa Catarina
Brazilian Serie C
12.07.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Santa Cruz Recife	1:2 ✺
04.07.26	Confiança - Barra Santa Catarina	1:2 ✺
27.06.26	Floresta - Barra Santa Catarina	2:1 ✺
21.06.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Amazonas	1:1 ✺
15.06.26	Ferroviária - Barra Santa Catarina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLTL

Ypiranga - Barra Santa Catarina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide