Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 16

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Novelli Júnior (Itu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Ituano		Barra Santa Catarina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.10	3.80
	1.85	3	4.15	Watch
	1.91	3.1	4.2
	1.93	3.13	4.24	Watch
	1.87	2.95	4.1
	1.88	3.04	4.15	Watch
	1.88	3.05	3.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (1.94)	3.05 ↓ (3.2)	4.06 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ituano
48.1%

Draw
29.6%

Barra Santa Catarina
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

28.9%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

28.2%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ituano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Barra Santa Catarina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barra Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Ituano - Barra Santa Catarina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Saulo (G) 11. Alason Carioca 6. Guilherme Dal Pian 10. Guilherme Xavier (C) 3. Leo Coltro 9. Leo Passos 5. Martha 4. Matheus Mancini 7. Neto Berola 8. Richard 2. Thassio	1. Fabian Volpi (G) 2. Augusto Potiguar 11. Cleo Silva 4. Everton Alemao 3. Jean Pierre (C) 6. Joao Vinicius 10. Marquinho 5. Pablo Gabriel 8. Pedro Pecanha 9. Renan Bernabe 7. Saymon
Substitutes
19. Bruno Mezenga 17. Felipe Muranga 20. Fernando Canesin 21. Gabriel Razera 14. Leandro Sergipe 15. Leo Souza 22. Lipe Gadol 23. Lucas Stefanello 12. Lucas Wingert (G) 18. Nelsinho 16. Tiaguinho 13. Victor Reis	18. Betinho 19. Gabriel Silva 23. Lucas Vargas 17. Marcelinho 12. Matheus Kayser (G) 21. Matheuzinho 15. Natan Costa 16. Nicolas 14. Tete 13. Vava Franca 20. Warley Jr
Coaches
de Freitas U.	Evaristo Piza

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Pablo Gabriel 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Pablo Gabriel ↓, Natan Costa ↑,
54', Joao Vinicius ↓, Vava Franca ↑,
60', 1 - 0, Guilherme Xavier ⚽,
62', Vava Franca 🟨,
64', Pedro Pecanha ↓, Gabriel Silva ↑,
64', Cleo Silva ↓, Warley Jr ↑,
71', Leo Passos ↓, Bruno Mezenga ↑,
76', 2 - 0, Neto Berola (Penalty Awarded),
82', Martha ↓, Nelsinho ↑,
82', Alason Carioca ↓, Tiaguinho ↑,
89', Jean Pierre 🟨,
90+2', Guilherme Xavier ↓, Gabriel Razera ↑,
90+2', Neto Berola ↓, Fernando Canesin ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 18).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

In this match, Ituano is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Outrights of Brazilian Serie C for now

Barra FC: 2.7%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ituano
Brazilian Serie C
26.07.26	Brusque - Ituano	1:0 ✺
12.07.26	Ituano - Ferroviária	1:3 ✺
04.07.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Ituano	1:0 ✺
28.06.26	Ituano - Maranhão	0:0 ✺
20.06.26	Ituano - Figueirense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTT
- Barra Santa Catarina
Brazilian Serie C
26.07.26	Ypiranga - Barra Santa Catarina	1:0 ✺
12.07.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Santa Cruz Recife	1:2 ✺
04.07.26	Confiança - Barra Santa Catarina	1:2 ✺
27.06.26	Floresta - Barra Santa Catarina	2:1 ✺
21.06.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Amazonas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWLT

Ituano - Barra Santa Catarina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide