Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 21

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday


	Marinhense		1 Dezembro

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.8	2.8
	2.55	2.55	2.9
	2.7	2.71	3.02
	2.51	2.93	2.88
	2.5	2.85	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.5)	2.77 ↓ (2.82)	2.89 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marinhense
35.7%

Draw
32.8%

1 Dezembro
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

32.1%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

32.6%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marinhense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

1 Dezembro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marinhense than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 1 Dezembro than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal (Play Offs)).

Marinhense in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

1 Dezembro is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marinhense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Marinhense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
26.02.23	Mortágua - Marinhense	2:2 ✺
19.02.23	Marinhense - União da Serra	1:0 ✺
12.02.23	Sertanense - Marinhense	0:2 ✺
05.02.23	Marinhense - Alcains	3:0 ✺
29.01.23	Loures - Marinhense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TWWWW
- SU 1 Dezembro
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
26.02.23	1 Dezembro - Arronches Benfica	3:1 ✺
19.02.23	1 Dezembro - Mortágua	1:0 ✺
12.02.23	União da Serra - 1 Dezembro	1:2 ✺
05.02.23	1 Dezembro - Sertanense	0:1 ✺
29.01.23	Alcains - 1 Dezembro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
20.11.22	1 Dezembro - Marinhense	1:0

Marinhense - 1 Dezembro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide