Match Info

Liga Revelacao U23 - Losers stage - Round 16

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Maritimo U23		Farense U23

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.4	1.98
	3.19	3.56	2.13
	3.31	3.67	2.02	Watch
	3	3.3	2.05
	3.14	3.66	2.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↓ (3.35)	3.52 ↓ (3.71)	2.06 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maritimo U23
29.1%

Draw
26.2%

Farense U23
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

25.1%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

23.7%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maritimo U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Farense U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maritimo U23 than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farense U23 than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Maritimo U23 - Farense U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
78', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maritimo U23 won 2.

In recent matches, Maritimo U23 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Farense U23's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Farense U23 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Maritimo U23 won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Maritimo U23 won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	SC Farense U23	7	3	2	2	11:11	0	11
20	Maritimo U23	7	0	3	4	5:12	-7	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maritimo U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
08.04.26	Rio Ave U23 - Maritimo U23	3:1 ✺
01.04.26	Maritimo U23 - Vizela U23	2:2 ✺
18.03.26	Leiria U23 - Maritimo U23	1:2 ✺
10.03.26	Maritimo U23 - Portimonense U23	2:1 ✺
05.03.26	Maritimo U23 - Estoril U23	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LTWWL
- SC Farense U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
08.04.26	Farense U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23	1:0 ✺
03.04.26	Gil Vicente U23 - Farense U23	3:2 ✺
24.03.26	Leiria U23 - Farense U23	0:0 ✺
16.03.26	Estoril U23 - Farense U23	1:0 ✺
10.03.26	Farense U23 - Rio Ave U23	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
03.02.26	Farense U23 - Maritimo U23	0:2
16.03.23	Farense U23 - Maritimo U23	1:0
05.03.23	Maritimo U23 - Farense U23	0:0
26.03.22	Farense U23 - Maritimo U23	0:0
18.02.22	Maritimo U23 - Farense U23	1:0
04.12.21	Maritimo U23 - Farense U23	2:2
25.09.21	Farense U23 - Maritimo U23	0:2

Maritimo U23 - Farense U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide