Match Info

Liga Revelacao U23 - Losers stage - Round 15

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Rio Ave U23		Maritimo U23

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	3.8
	1.8	3.88	3.97
	1.77	4.01	3.9	Watch
	1.75	3.4	3.8
	1.71	3.72	4.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.78)	3.72 ↓ (3.9)	3.9 ↑ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Ave U23
52%

Draw
24.5%

Maritimo U23
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

23.8%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

23%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Ave U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Maritimo U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Ave U23 than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maritimo U23 than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Rio Ave U23 - Maritimo U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 2 - 1, ⚽,
77', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave U23 won 4.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Maritimo U23 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rio Ave U23 is considered a favorite.

We predict that Rio Ave U23 will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave U23 won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:11. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Rio Ave U23 won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:3. (average 2.6:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Rio Ave U23	7	3	3	1	8:5	3	12
20	Maritimo U23	7	0	3	4	5:12	-7	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Ave U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
29.03.26	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Rio Ave U23	1:0 ✺
18.03.26	Rio Ave U23 - Gil Vicente U23	3:2 ✺
10.03.26	Farense U23 - Rio Ave U23	0:1 ✺
24.02.26	Rio Ave U23 - Vizela U23	3:2 ✺
19.02.26	Rio Ave U23 - Leiria U23	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 LWWWW
- Maritimo U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
01.04.26	Maritimo U23 - Vizela U23	2:2 ✺
18.03.26	Leiria U23 - Maritimo U23	1:2 ✺
10.03.26	Maritimo U23 - Portimonense U23	2:1 ✺
05.03.26	Maritimo U23 - Estoril U23	1:2 ✺
19.02.26	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Maritimo U23	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
28.01.26	Maritimo U23 - Rio Ave U23	0:3
09.12.25	Rio Ave U23 - Maritimo U23	2:1
23.09.25	Maritimo U23 - Rio Ave U23	0:1
06.04.23	Rio Ave U23 - Maritimo U23	1:0
08.02.23	Maritimo U23 - Rio Ave U23	3:0
05.12.22	Maritimo U23 - Rio Ave U23	1:1
13.09.22	Rio Ave U23 - Maritimo U23	2:1

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