Match Info

Premier League - Round 13

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Rwamwanja stadium (Nkoma)


	Mbarara City		Lugazi Municipal

	1	X	2
	2.42	2.88	2.88
	2.42	3.36	2.54
	2.45	3	2.5
	2.62	3.21	2.23	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (1.97)	3.11 ↑ (2.94)	2.54 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mbarara City
36.2%

Draw
28.7%

Lugazi Municipal
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

30.5%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mbarara City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mbarara City's form might have worsened.

Lugazi Municipal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lugazi Municipal's recent form is better than expected.

Mbarara City - Lugazi Municipal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League).

Lugazi is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Mbarara City might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mbarara City won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Lugazi	5	2	0	3	4:9	-5	6
16	Mbarara City	4	0	2	2	0:2	-2	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mbarara City FC
Ugandan Super League
06.01.26	Vipers - Mbarara City	2:0 ✺
17.12.25	Mbarara City - Uganda Revenue Authority SC	1:0 ✺
03.12.25	Mbarara City - Entebbe UPPC	1:1 ✺
28.11.25	Mbarara City - Kampala City Council	1:2 ✺
21.11.25	Buhimba United Saints - Mbarara City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LWTLW
- Lugazi Municipal FC
Ugandan Super League
07.01.26	NEC FC - Lugazi Municipal	1:0 ✺
17.12.25	Lugazi Municipal - Vipers	1:2 ✺
10.12.25	Lugazi Municipal - Police	1:1 ✺
05.12.25	UPDF - Lugazi Municipal	2:0 ✺
25.11.25	Maroons - Lugazi Municipal	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
12.12.24	Lugazi Municipal - Mbarara City	1:1

Mbarara City - Lugazi Municipal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide