Match Info

MALTA: Premier League - First stage - Play Out - Round 12

Date: 24 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Marsaxlokk		Balzan

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.2	3.5
	1.99	3.26	3.84
	1.93	3.3	3.74	Watch
	1.91	3.25	3.6
	1.91	3.32	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.05)	3.27 ↓ (3.46)	3.67 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marsaxlokk
47.2%

Draw
27.9%

Balzan
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

26.5%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

25.7%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marsaxlokk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Balzan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsaxlokk than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Balzan than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Marsaxlokk - Balzan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Drobnjak M. (G) 27. Aguirre L. 19. Arias U. 26. Holzhauser R. 4. Micallef K. 6. Muscat N. 24. Pena E. 28. Radjen N. 30. Scicluna R. (C) 23. Tank A. 10. Yuri	1. Ciappara D. (G) 27. Akpan U. 5. Arab S. (C) 10. Busuttil J. 7. Caruana T. 80. Cerezo 14. Dimeji A. 77. Kamsoba E. 8. Pulis N. 17. Stanic H. 24. Williams K.
Substitutes
18. Barbara A. 11. Bonnici D. 16. Borg I. 1. Calleja Cremona M. (G) 15. Cassar S. 2. Dimech K. 14. Galea N. 20. Gatt C. 8. Ghio J. 22. Lopez L. 21. Quitongo J.	21. Buschman-Dormond C. 2. Camilleri G. 18. Engerer J. 19. Farrugia G. 99. Golovic D. (G) 22. Grech J. 6. Grima M. 11. Hili B.
Coaches
Potenza V.	Rogers D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Caruana T. (Own goal),
8', Williams K. 🟨,
23', 1 - 1, Caruana T. ⚽,
26', Dimeji A. 🟨,
35', Radjen N. ↓, Lopez L. ↑,
43', Kamsoba E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Tank A. 🟨,
63', Pulis N. 🟨,
64', Micallef K. 🟨,
66', Holzhauser R. ↓, Quitongo J. ↑,
69', Aguirre L. 🟨,
71', Cerezo ↓, Grech J. ↑,
72', 2 - 1, Yuri ⚽,
80', Dimeji A. 🟨,
84', Arias U. ↓, Bonnici D. ↑,
84', Pulis N. ↓, Buschman-Dormond C. ↑,

Preview

Marsaxlokk is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Balzan is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Marsaxlokk will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Marsaxlokk won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 0.8:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Marsaxlokk won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marsaxlokk FC
Maltese Premier League
07.11.24	Marsaxlokk - Paola Hibernians	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Hamrun Spartans - Marsaxlokk	2:3 ✺
27.10.24	Naxxar Lions - Marsaxlokk	0:0 ✺
21.10.24	Marsaxlokk - Floriana	1:1 ✺
02.10.24	Żabbar St. Patrick - Marsaxlokk	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 TWTTW
- Balzan FC
Maltese Premier League
06.11.24	Mosta - Balzan	2:2 ✺
01.11.24	Balzan - Paola Hibernians	0:1 ✺
26.10.24	Floriana - Balzan	3:0 ✺
20.10.24	Melita - Balzan	2:0 ✺
03.10.24	Balzan - Gżira United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
28.09.24	Marsaxlokk - Balzan	2:1
21.01.24	Balzan - Marsaxlokk	0:0
29.01.23	Balzan - Marsaxlokk	0:0
11.09.22	Marsaxlokk - Balzan	1:2

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