The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Floriana 50.4%
Draw 26.4%
Balzan 23.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.3%
25.2%
22.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54%
26%
21.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Floriana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Balzan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floriana than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Balzan than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
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Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Premier League (First stage - Top 6: ) and 8th in the Premier League (First stage - Play Out: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Floriana won 2.
Floriana has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Balzan shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Recently, Balzan has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Floriana carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Floriana has recorded 7 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:18 (averaging 1.1:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Floriana against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with 9:9 goals (averaging 0.8:0.8 per game).