Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 14

Date: 24 October 2023, Tuesday


	Marske United		Workington

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.75	2.05
	2.84	4	2.1
	2.84	4	2.1
	2.88	4	1.95
	2.91	3.8	2.02
	2.95	3.75	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↓ (3.45)	3.88 ↓ (4.2)	2.05 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marske United
31.6%

Draw
23.6%

Workington
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

21.7%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

21%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marske United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marske United's performance.

Workington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Workington might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marske United than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marske United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Workington than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Workington could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Marske United - Workington Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Recent matches Marske is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Workington is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Marske could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Marske have a series of home games.

Workington will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marske United
English NPL Premier Division
21.10.23	Atherton Collieries - Marske United	1:4 ✺
14.10.23	Marske United - Basford United	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Marske United - Marine	2:4 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
03.10.23	Marske United - United of Manchester	2:5 ✺
30.09.23	Marske United - Matlock Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLLL
- Workington
English NPL Premier Division
21.10.23	Workington - Gainsborough Trinity	2:3 ✺
14.10.23	Matlock Town - Workington	2:2 ✺
10.10.23	Warrington Rylands - Workington	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Workington - Hyde United	1:3 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
30.09.23	Workington - United of Manchester	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTLLW

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