Match Info
NPL Premier Division - Round 38Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday
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 |
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Matlock Town |
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Morpeth Town |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.71 |
3.6 |
3.8 |
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 |
1.68 |
3.8 |
4.2 |
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 |
1.69 |
3.93 |
4.6 |
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 |
1.63 |
3.82 |
4.47 |
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 |
1.68 |
3.8 |
4.2 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↓
(2.48) |
3.79 ↑
(3.51) |
4.25 ↑
(2.44) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Matlock Town
54.4% | Draw
24.1% | Morpeth Town
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matlock Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matlock Town's performance.Morpeth Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Morpeth Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matlock Town than the current prediction. (-18.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matlock Town that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morpeth Town than the current prediction. (+16.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Morpeth Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Matlock Town - Morpeth Town Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Matlock (votes: 2 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Bondo T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 63', 1 - 1, Buddle N. ⚽,
- 82', 1 - 2, Oglesby C. (Own goal),
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 and 7).Last 5 head-to-head matches Matlock won 0. The game of competitors is shaky now. In this match Matlock is a favorite.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Matlock won 0 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:12 (average 1.3:1.5). Including matches at home between the teams Matlock won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Matlock Town - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 36.67%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Morpeth Town - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 37.35%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| English NPL Premier Division | | | 30.11.24 | Morpeth Town - Matlock Town | 3:3 | | 23.12.23 | Matlock Town - Morpeth Town | 1:1 | | 19.08.23 | Morpeth Town - Matlock Town | 3:3 | | 07.01.23 | Matlock Town - Morpeth Town | 2:2 | | 20.08.22 | Morpeth Town - Matlock Town | 2:0 | | 02.04.22 | Matlock Town - Morpeth Town | 0:0 | | 20.11.21 | Morpeth Town - Matlock Town | 0:0 |
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