Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 38

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday


	Warrington Rylands		Workington

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.2	3.95
	1.81	3.46	3.98
	1.86	3.48	4.11	Watch
	1.75	3.1	4
	1.88	3.55	3.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.55)	3.36 ↓ (4.05)	3.99 ↓ (5.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warrington Rylands
50%

Draw
27.2%

Workington
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

22.9%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

21.1%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warrington Rylands has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Warrington Rylands's form might have worsened.

Workington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Workington's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrington Rylands than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Workington than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Warrington Rylands - Workington Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Wood H. ⚽,
33', 2 - 0, Hardcastle B. ⚽,
45+3', 3 - 0, Munro C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 16).

Warrington Rylands has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Workington is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Warrington Rylands might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Warrington Rylands won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Warrington Rylands won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Workington	12	6	3	3	23:19	4	21
6	Warrington Rylands	12	6	2	4	20:17	3	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warrington Rylands
English NPL Premier Division
28.03.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Warrington Rylands	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Warrington Rylands - United of Manchester	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Leek Town - Warrington Rylands	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Warrington Rylands - Cleethorpes Town	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Whitby Town - Warrington Rylands	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLWLT
- Workington
English NPL Premier Division
28.03.26	Workington - Hednesford Town	3:0 ✺
21.03.26	Hyde United - Workington	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Workington - Stocksbridge Park Steels	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Guiseley - Workington	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Workington - Rushall Olympic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.3 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
19.08.25	Workington - Warrington Rylands	0:1
14.12.24	Warrington Rylands - Workington	2:1
07.09.24	Workington - Warrington Rylands	1:1
20.01.24	Workington - Warrington Rylands	2:2
10.10.23	Warrington Rylands - Workington	1:0

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