Match Info

PARAGUAY: Division Intermedia - Round 16

Date: 14 July 2024, Sunday


	Martín Ledesma		Sportivo San Lorenzo

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.87	2.55
	2.59	2.96	2.52
	2.68	3.01	2.62	Watch
	2.6	3	2.6
	2.63	2.98	2.56
	2.65	2.9	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.29)	2.95 ↓ (2.99)	2.58 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martín Ledesma
34.4%

Draw
30.6%

Sportivo San Lorenzo
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

30.3%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

30.3%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martín Ledesma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Martín Ledesma's form might have worsened.

Sportivo San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sportivo San Lorenzo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martín Ledesma than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Martín Ledesma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sportivo San Lorenzo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Martín Ledesma - Sportivo San Lorenzo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
73', 0 - 1, Oviedo A. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 5).

Martín Ledesma is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Sportivo San Lorenzo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Martín Ledesma could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Martín Ledesma won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Martín Ledesma won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Martín Ledesma
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
07.07.24	Martín Ledesma - Independiente Asuncion	2:0 ✺
27.06.24	Resistencia - Martín Ledesma	1:2 ✺
21.06.24	Martín Ledesma - Rubio Ñu	4:4 ✺
16.06.24	Deportivo Santaní - Martín Ledesma	1:1 ✺
09.06.24	Martín Ledesma - Sportivo Carapeguá	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 WWTTT
- Sportivo San Lorenzo
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
08.07.24	Encarnación - Sportivo San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
30.06.24	Sportivo San Lorenzo - 3 de Febrero	1:0 ✺
23.06.24	Colegiales - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:3 ✺
16.06.24	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Fernando de la Mora	2:2 ✺
10.06.24	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Independiente Asuncion	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
03.09.23	Martín Ledesma - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:1
29.05.23	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Martín Ledesma	1:0
25.09.22	Martín Ledesma - Sportivo San Lorenzo	3:0
17.06.22	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Martín Ledesma	1:1

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