Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 20

Date: 24 January 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Francis Turcan (Martigues)

Referee: Leleu M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free


	Martigues		Amiens

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.5	1.9	Watch
	3.9	3.3	1.93
	4	3.3	1.95
	4.4	3.38	1.93
	4.26	3.29	1.9	Watch
	3.9	3.4	1.91
	3.94	3.6	1.92	Watch
	4	3.3	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↑ (3.98)	3.38 ↓ (3.51)	1.92 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martigues
23.3%

Draw
27.8%

Amiens
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

26.7%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

23.5%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martigues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Amiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martigues than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Amiens, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	33.3%	46.7%

Martigues - Amiens Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Martigues will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Amiens will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Amiens: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Marillat Y. (G) 21. Hadjem Y. 39. Saintini N. 3. Solvet S. 5. Falette S. 18. Amraoui A. 7. Orinel O. 26. Belloumou S. 12. Robin M. 10. Tlili K. 9. Montiel R.	1. Gurtner R. (C) 14. Corchia S. 34. Bakayoko S. 5. Urhoghide O. 19. Vita R. 29. Boya F. 20. Kaiboue K. 10. Kandil N. 18. Manitu M. 7. Leautey A. 9. Mafouta L.
Substitutes
20. Etile Y. (G) 33. Gharbi A. 27. Ipiele A. 6. Kembolo F. 29. Mendy O. 24. Morante L. 23. Siby M.	39. Chabane A. 22. Dao E. 45. Fofana I. 41. Kouassi K. 8. Lobry V. 27. Lutin R. 16. Sauvage A. (G)
Coaches
Rachidi I.	Daf O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Hadjem Y. ⚽, Orinel O. (A),
16', Bakayoko S. 🟨,
25', 2 - 0, Orinel O. ⚽, Montiel R. (A),
39', Amraoui A. 🟨,
42', 3 - 0, Tlili K. ⚽, Hadjem Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kandil N. ↓, Lutin R. ↑,
46', Boya F. ↓, Fofana I. ↑,
46', Vita R. ↓, Chabane A. ↑,
63', Belloumou S. 🟨,
66', Montiel R. ↓, Mendy O. ↑,
66', Orinel O. ↓, Kembolo F. ↑,
69', Urhoghide O. 🟨,
76', Bakayoko S. ↓, Dao E. ↑,
76', Saintini N. ↓, Morante L. ↑,
76', Belloumou S. ↓, Siby M. ↑,
78', Kaiboue K. 🟨,
82', Manitu M. ↓, Lobry V. ↑,
88', Robin M. ↓, Ipiele A. ↑,
90+1', Dao E. 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 10).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Recently Martigues have a series of guest games.

Amiens will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Martigues: Diawara A. (Injury) Djaha A. (Injury) Gautier L. (Injury) Kembolo F. (Injury) Siby M. (Injury) Zouaoui I. (Injury)

There will not play in Amiens: Bakayoko S. (Injury) Boya F. (Yellow Cards) Chibozo A. (Injury) Tine M. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Martigues won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Martigues
French Ligue 2
17.01.25	Grenoble - Martigues	1:0 ✺
10.01.25	Martigues - Clermont	0:1 ✺
03.01.25	Paris FC - Martigues	1:2 ✺
Coupe De France
21.12.24	Bourgoin-Jallieu - Martigues	4:1 ✺
French Ligue 2
13.12.24	Troyes - Martigues	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 LLWLL
- Amiens SC
French Ligue 2
17.01.25	Amiens - Bastia	1:0 ✺
11.01.25	Paris FC - Amiens	1:0 ✺
03.01.25	Amiens - Troyes	0:3 ✺
Coupe De France
21.12.24	Thaon - Amiens	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 2
13.12.24	Amiens - Laval	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
08.11.24	Amiens - Martigues	1:1

Martigues - Amiens: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide