Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 18

Date: 11 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Charlety (Paris)

Referee: Legat P. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Asia	beIN Connect MENA, TOD
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Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5, Moja TV
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6
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Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Spain	beIN Sports
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
World	Fanatiz


	Paris FC		Amiens

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.9	5.5	Watch
	1.58	4	5.25
	1.57	4	5.5	Watch
	1.57	4.02	5.53	Watch
	1.62	3.8	5.5
	1.61	4.05	5.45	Watch
	1.57	4	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.72)	3.97 ↑ (3.64)	5.46 ↑ (4.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

Watch this match and French Ligue 2 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS

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Current Win Probability

Paris FC
59.2%

Draw
23.6%

Amiens
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

25.7%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

23.6%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Amiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paris FC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	9.5%	4.8%

Paris FC - Amiens Predictions

Users Predictions: Paris FC will win (18 of 21 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.74% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Nkambadio O. (G) 39. Tourraine M. 5. Mbow M. 15. Kolodziejczak T. (C) 2. Ollila T. 21. Lopez M. 4. Marchetti V. 17. Camara A. 7. Gory A. 11. Krasso J. 29. Hamel P.	1. Gurtner R. (C) 14. Corchia S. 5. Urhoghide O. 13. Jaouab M. 19. Vita R. 25. Gene O. 20. Kaiboue K. 10. Kandil N. 7. Leautey A. 29. Boya F. 9. Mafouta L.
Substitutes
22. Alakouch S. 12. Dicko N. 8. Doucet L. 10. Kebbal I. 20. Lopez J. 1. Riou R. (G) 6. Soumahoro A.	39. Chabane A. 22. Dao E. 8. Fofana I. 41. Kouassi K. 27. Lutin R. 18. Manitu M. 16. Sauvage A. (G)
Coaches
Gilli S.	Daf O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Corchia S. 🟨,
32', Gene O. 🟨,
45+1', Marchetti V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, Hamel P. ⚽, Kolodziejczak T. (A),
54', Kaiboue K. 🟨,
68', Boya F. ↓, Lutin R. ↑,
68', Gory A. ↓, Kebbal I. ↑,
71', Ollila T. 🟨,
78', Ollila T. ↓, Soumahoro A. ↑,
78', Hamel P. ↓, Dicko N. ↑,
82', Marchetti V. ↓, Doucet L. ↑,
82', Krasso J. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
84', Leautey A. ↓, Kouassi K. ↑,
84', Kandil N. ↓, Manitu M. ↑,
84', Mafouta L. ↓, Dao E. ↑,
86', Camara A. 🟨,
90+2', Kaiboue K. ↓, Fofana I. ↑,
90+6', Lutin R. 🟨,
90+6', Lopez M. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paris FC won 2.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match Paris FC is a favorite.

There will not play in Paris FC: Chergui S. (Knock) Gueye L. (Knee Injury) Pembele A. (Injury)

There will not play in Amiens: Chibozo A. (Injury) Fofana M. (Injury)

Last 15 head-to-head matches Paris FC won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 24:13 (average 1.6:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Paris FC won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14:3 (average 2.3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris FC
French Ligue 2
03.01.25	Paris FC - Martigues	1:2 ✺
14.12.24	Lorient - Paris FC	2:0 ✺
07.12.24	Ajaccio - Paris FC	0:2 ✺
23.11.24	Paris FC - Annecy	0:0 ✺
Coupe De France
15.11.24	Paris FC - Quevilly	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWTL
- Amiens SC
French Ligue 2
03.01.25	Amiens - Troyes	0:3 ✺
Coupe De France
21.12.24	Thaon - Amiens	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 2
13.12.24	Amiens - Laval	1:3 ✺
07.12.24	Grenoble - Amiens	0:2 ✺
22.11.24	Guingamp - Amiens	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
29.10.24	Amiens - Paris FC	0:0
03.02.24	Amiens - Paris FC	1:1
16.09.23	Paris FC - Amiens	3:0
14.03.23	Paris FC - Amiens	3:0
30.08.22	Amiens - Paris FC	1:1
07.05.22	Amiens - Paris FC	1:2
21.12.21	Paris FC - Amiens	1:0

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