Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 19

Date: 17 January 2025, Friday

Location: Stade des Alpes (Grenoble)

Referee: Kubler G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free


	Grenoble		Martigues

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.75	7.5	Watch
	1.37	4.8	7.75
	1.38	4.75	7.5	Watch
	1.37	4.77	7.9	Watch
	1.36	4.75	8
	1.4	4.87	8.62	Watch
	1.38	4.75	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.55)	4.78 ↑ (4.17)	7.82 ↑ (5.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grenoble
68.3%

Draw
19.7%

Martigues
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

22.5%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

16.7%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grenoble has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grenoble's performance.

Martigues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grenoble than the current prediction. (-23.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grenoble that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martigues than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Martigues could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	15%	25%

Grenoble - Martigues Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Grenoble will win (votes: 12 - 60%). Martigues will win (votes: 5 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grenoble: 38.5% – 81.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Diop M. (G) 4. Diarra M. 24. Mouyokolo L. 21. Tchaptchet A. 8. Benet J. 29. Paquiez G. (C) 25. Valls T. 70. Touray S. 27. Xantippe M. 9. Kerouedan A. 7. Ba P. M.	20. Etile Y. (G) 21. Hadjem Y. 39. Saintini N. 3. Solvet S. 5. Falette S. 18. Amraoui A. 7. Orinel O. 26. Belloumou S. (C) 12. Robin M. 10. Tlili K. 29. Mendy O.
Substitutes
16. Allain B. (G) 11. Bangre M. 17. Delos S. 38. Jabbari A. 31. Mbemba N. 10. Sylvestre E. 87. Zahui N.	50. Anzimati-Aboudou A. (G) 41. Bamba M. 33. Gharbi A. 27. Ipiele A. 9. Montiel R. 24. Morante L. 14. Moussiti-Oko B.
Coaches
Gueguen F.	Rachidi I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Kerouedan A. ↓, Jabbari A. ↑,
63', Touray S. ↓, Sylvestre E. ↑,
71', Mendy O. ↓, Moussiti-Oko B. ↑,
75', Xantippe M. ↓, Delos S. ↑,
79', Benet J. 🟨,
85', Orinel O. ↓, Bamba M. ↑,
85', Belloumou S. ↓, Morante L. ↑,
90+1', Tlili K. ↓, Ipiele A. ↑,
90+1', Robin M. ↓, Montiel R. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 0, Sylvestre E. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Recent matches Grenoble is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Martigues is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Grenoble is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Grenoble: Mendy A. (Red Card) Nestor L. (Knee Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Grenoble won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 2:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Grenoble won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grenoble Foot 38
French Ligue 2
11.01.25	Caen - Grenoble	0:1 ✺
03.01.25	Grenoble - Bastia	3:2 ✺
Coupe De France
21.12.24	Cannes - Grenoble	3:2 ✺
French Ligue 2
14.12.24	Red Star - Grenoble	3:1 ✺
07.12.24	Grenoble - Amiens	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWLLL
- FC Martigues
French Ligue 2
10.01.25	Martigues - Clermont	0:1 ✺
03.01.25	Paris FC - Martigues	1:2 ✺
Coupe De France
21.12.24	Bourgoin-Jallieu - Martigues	4:1 ✺
French Ligue 2
13.12.24	Troyes - Martigues	4:0 ✺
06.12.24	Martigues - Guingamp	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
20.09.24	Martigues - Grenoble	0:4
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Grenoble - Martigues	Canceled

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