Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 25

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade de la Licorne (Amiens) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Rosier E. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Andorra	20:45	beIN Sports 1
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Brazil	16:45	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping
France	20:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free


	Amiens		Troyes

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.5	1.73	Watch
	4.2	3.75	1.75
	4.15	3.6	1.78	Watch
	4.46	3.9	1.82
	4.19	3.91	1.76	Watch
	4	3.6	1.75
	4.22	3.72	1.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.16 ↓ (4.26)	3.71 ↑ (3.56)	1.77 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amiens
22.3%

Draw
25%

Troyes
52.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.9%

26.2%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

25.7%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Troyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.5%	4.8%	85.7%

Amiens - Troyes Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH +1.5 - Amiens (1.35) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Troyes will win (18 of 21 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.74% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Troyes will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Amiens (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Troyes (votes: 10 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Bernardoni P. (G) 88. Kore Y. 34. Bakayoko S. (C) 20. Kaiboue K. 21. Roussillon J. 11. Averlant T. 80. Alvero S. 45. Fofana I. 14. Leautey A. 10. Kandil N. 90. Ntamack S.	40. Konate H. (G) 2. Maronnier L. 6. Monfray A. (C) 23. Gambor H. 38. Diawara S. 17. Mille A. 8. Diop M. 5. Adeline M. 21. Bentayeb T. 11. Detourbet M. 29. Diawara K.
Substitutes
39. Chabane A. 7. Hamache I. 44. Louis C. 27. Lutin R. 9. Mlakar J. 29. Sane I. 16. Sauvage A. (G)	7. Chavalerin X. 31. Donkor N. 9. El Idrissy M. 33. Nkoumouck M. (G) 12. Odede E. 3. Ouzenadji A. 20. Ripart R.
Coaches
Daf O.	Dumont S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', Kaiboue K. 🟨,
52', 0 - 1, Diawara K. ⚽, Bentayeb T. (A),
60', 0 - 2, Bentayeb T. ⚽, Adeline M. (A),
67', Leautey A. ↓, Hamache I. ↑,
68', Roussillon J. ↓, Louis C. ↑,
68', Kandil N. ↓, Sane I. ↑,
80', Gambor H. 🟨,
82', Diawara K. ↓, Ripart R. ↑,
83', Averlant T. ↓, Mlakar J. ↑,
87', Bentayeb T. ↓, El Idrissy M. ↑,
88', Alvero S. ↓, Lutin R. ↑,
90', Detourbet M. ↓, Odede E. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amiens won 0.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Amiens may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Troyes is the team to beat.

There will not play in Amiens: Appiah A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Lo A. (Injury) Lobry V. (Knee Injury) Manitu M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Troyes: Boura I. (Health problems) Gozzi P. (Broken Leg) Ifnaoui M. (Injury) Lemaitre N. (Knee Injury) Phliponeau A. (Injury) Traore I. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Amiens: Monconduit T. (Inactive)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Amiens won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 10:26. (average 0.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Amiens won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amiens SC
French Ligue 2
21.02.26	Reims - Amiens	0:0 ✺
13.02.26	Amiens - Dunkerque	1:4 ✺
09.02.26	Amiens - Clermont	4:3 ✺
Coupe De France
04.02.26	Toulouse - Amiens	1:0 ✺
French Ligue 2
30.01.26	Grenoble - Amiens	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TLWLL
- Troyes AC
French Ligue 2
21.02.26	Troyes - Pau	4:3 ✺
16.02.26	Bastia - Troyes	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Nancy - Troyes	2:1 ✺
Coupe De France
04.02.26	Troyes - Lens	2:4 ✺
French Ligue 2
31.01.26	Troyes - Le Mans	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
28.10.25	Troyes - Amiens	3:1
10.05.25	Troyes - Amiens	1:0
03.01.25	Amiens - Troyes	0:3
27.04.24	Amiens - Troyes	0:0
05.12.23	Troyes - Amiens	2:0
20.03.21	Amiens - Troyes	3:1
28.11.20	Troyes - Amiens	2:1

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