Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 4

Date: 13 September 2024, Friday

Location: Nouste Camp (Pau)

Referee: Bouille T. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free, myCANAL


	Pau		Martigues

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.4	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3.25
	2.25	3.2	3.2
	2.29	3.3	3.5
	2.22	3.2	3.48	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3.2
	2.13	3.42	3.44	Watch
	2.25	3.2	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.82)	3.23 ↓ (3.46)	3.33 ↓ (4.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pau
42.7%

Draw
29.1%

Martigues
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

27%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

26.2%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pau's form might have worsened.

Martigues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Martigues's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martigues than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Martigues, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Pau - Martigues Predictions

Users Predictions: Pau will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Jeannin M. (G) 33. Kalulu J. 22. Ahoussou A. 25. Ruiz J. 2. Koudou T. 18. Diawara K. 8. Mohamed I. 9. Mboup P. 17. Mille A. 14. Bobichon A. 10. Boutaib K.	30. Aymes J. (G) 39. Saintini N. 24. Morante L. 5. Falette S. 18. Amraoui A. 3. Solvet S. 12. Robin M. 41. Bamba M. 23. Siby M. 27. Ipiele A. 19. Ouotro P.
Substitutes
7. Arconte T. 26. Evan's J. 27. Gasnier K. 19. Kante 4. Kouassi L.X. 30. Njoh Y. 77. Paradowski T. (G)	22. Djaha A. 20. Etile Y. (G) 34. Gautier L. 29. Mendy O. 17. Shamal S. 8. Zouaoui I.
Coaches
Usai N.	Laurey T.

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Pau have a series of guest games.

Pau will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pau won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Pau won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pau FC
French Ligue 2
30.08.24	Grenoble - Pau	1:1 ✺
23.08.24	Pau - Caen	1:0 ✺
16.08.24	Clermont - Pau	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Rodez - Pau	1:4 ✺
27.07.24	Olympique Marseille - Pau	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 TWTWL
- FC Martigues
French Ligue 2
30.08.24	Martigues - Bastia	0:1 ✺
23.08.24	Annecy - Martigues	2:4 ✺
19.08.24	Martigues - Lorient	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Grenoble - Martigues	Canceled ✺
03.08.24	Martigues - Nîmes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWL?W

Latest Head to Head

French National 1 - Group C
30.04.16	Pau - Martigues	3:2

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