Match Info

Paulista A3 - Round 13

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Bento de Abreu (Sao Paulo)


	Marília		União Suzano

	1	X	2
	1.21	5.35	9.8
	1.23	5.44	9.67
	1.21	5.62	11.56	Watch
	1.22	5	11
	1.29	5.08	10.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.34)	5.3 ↑ (4.55)	10.45 ↑ (7.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marília
74%

Draw
17.2%

União Suzano
8.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.8%

20%

12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8%

18.9%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marília has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marília's performance.

União Suzano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marília than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União Suzano than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Marília - União Suzano Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Lima L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 2 - 0, Carlos Alberto ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4).

Marília is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

União Suzano is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Marília is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Marília won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marília AC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
07.03.26	Rio Branco de Americana - Marília	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	Marília - Rio Claro	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Marília - Desportivo Brasil	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Catanduva - Marília	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	União São João - Marília	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTWTW
- União Suzano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
07.03.26	União Suzano - Paulista	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	União Barbarense - União Suzano	3:0 ✺
28.02.26	União Suzano - XV de Jaú	1:3 ✺
25.02.26	União Suzano - Bandeirante	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Rio Preto - União Suzano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
19.02.25	União Suzano - Marília	2:1

Marília - União Suzano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide