Match Info

Paulista A3 - Round 12

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	Rio Branco de Americana		Marília

	1	X	2
	5.35	3.1	1.65
	5.33	3.11	1.68
	5.39	3.23	1.67	Watch
	5.5	2.9	1.7
	4.97	3.4	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.31 ↑ (3.72)	3.15 ↓ (3.26)	1.69 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Branco de Americana
17.2%

Draw
28.9%

Marília
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

28%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

27.1%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Branco de Americana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rio Branco de Americana's form might have worsened.

Marília has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marília's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Branco de Americana than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rio Branco de Americana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marília than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Rio Branco de Americana - Marília Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 0 - 1, Lazaro ⚽,
68', 0 - 2, Lima L. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Rio Branco has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Marília is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Marília is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rio Branco won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Branco de Americana
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
04.03.26	EC São Bernardo - Rio Branco de Americana	4:0 ✺
28.02.26	Rio Branco de Americana - União Barbarense	1:2 ✺
25.02.26	Francana - Rio Branco de Americana	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Rio Branco de Americana - Catanduva	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Desportivo Brasil - Rio Branco de Americana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWTT
- Marília AC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
04.03.26	Marília - Rio Claro	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Marília - Desportivo Brasil	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Catanduva - Marília	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	União São João - Marília	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Marília - Portuguesa Santista	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
15.03.25	Marília - Rio Branco de Americana	3:3

Rio Branco de Americana - Marília: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide