Match Info

Paulista A3 - Round 12

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	União Suzano		Paulista

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.1	1.9
	3.99	3.19	1.81
	3.86	3.41	1.85	Watch
	3.8	3	1.91
	3.9	3.25	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.87 ↑ (3.01)	3.19 ↓ (3.2)	1.87 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União Suzano
23.3%

Draw
28.3%

Paulista
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

28.3%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

28.4%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União Suzano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that União Suzano's form might have worsened.

Paulista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paulista's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União Suzano than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for União Suzano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paulista than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paulista, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

União Suzano - Paulista Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, Christopher ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+8', 0 - 2, Vitinho ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4 and 10).

União Suzano is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Paulista has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

União Suzano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Paulista could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União Suzano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
04.03.26	União Barbarense - União Suzano	3:0 ✺
28.02.26	União Suzano - XV de Jaú	1:3 ✺
25.02.26	União Suzano - Bandeirante	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Rio Preto - União Suzano	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	União São João - União Suzano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL
- Paulista FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
04.03.26	Paulista - Bandeirante	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Paulista - Francana	2:2 ✺
25.02.26	Rio Preto - Paulista	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Paulista - EC São Bernardo	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	XV de Jaú - Paulista	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TTLLW

União Suzano - Paulista: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide